2012 Vermont gubernatorial election
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 County results Municipality results Precinct resultsShumlin: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Brock: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2012 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Vermont. Incumbent Democratic Governor Peter Shumlin won re-election to a second term, making this the only one of his gubernatorial elections in which he won a majority of the vote. In his 2010 and 2014 races, the Vermont General Assembly was required to choose a winner in accordance with the state constitution, because no candidate won a majority.
Democratic nomination
Candidates
- Peter Shumlin, incumbent[1]
Republican nomination
Candidates
- Randy Brock, state senator and former state auditor[2][3]
Declined
- Brian Dubie, former lieutenant governor and 2010 gubernatorial nominee[2]
- Thom Lauzon, mayor of Barre[4]
- Patricia McDonald, Vermont Republican Party Chairwoman and former state representative[2]
- Roy Newton, newspaper publisher (did not file)[5]
- Tom Salmon, state auditor[6]
- Phil Scott, lieutenant governor[3]
- Mark Snelling, 2010 candidate for lieutenant governor and son of former governor Richard Snelling[2]
Progressive nomination
Candidates
- Martha Abbott, chairwoman of the Vermont Progressive Party[7] (resigned nomination in order to aid Shumlin by avoiding split in progressive/liberal votes)
General election
Candidates
- Randy Brock (R), state senator and former state auditor
- Dave Eagle (Liberty Union)
- Cris Ericson (U.S. Marijuana), perennial candidate who also ran for the U.S. Senate[8]
- Emily Peyton (Independent)[9]
- Peter Shumlin (D), incumbent
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 13, 2012 - C-SPAN
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Solid D | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[13] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Shumlin (D) | Randy Brock (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castleton Polling | August 11–21, 2012 | 477 | ± 4.5% | 60% | 26% | 13% |
| Vermont Business Magazine | May 7–16, 2012 | 607 | ± 4.0% | 60% | 27% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Shumlin (D) | Brian Dubie (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Shumlin (D) | Thom Lauzon (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Shumlin (D) | Tom Salmon (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 31% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Shumlin (D) | Phil Scott (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 33% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Shumlin (D) | Mark Snelling (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 29% | 21% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Shumlin (incumbent) | 170,749 | 57.80% | +8.36% | |
| Republican | Randy Brock | 110,940 | 37.55% | -10.14% | |
| Independent | Emily Peyton | 5,868 | 1.99% | +1.71% | |
| Marijuana | Cris Ericson | 5,583 | 1.89% | +1.14% | |
| Liberty Union | Dave Eagle | 1,303 | 0.44% | +0.26% | |
| Write-in | 969 | 0.33% | +0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 295,412 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Grand Isle (largest municipality: Alburgh)
- Lamoille (largest municipality: Morristown)
- Rutland (largest municipality: Rutland)
See also
References
- ^ "Shumlin Announces His Re-election Bid". Vermont Public Radio. June 12, 2012. Retrieved June 12, 2012.
- ^ a b c d Galloway, Anne (December 7, 2011). "Vermont GOP backs Brock for 2012 gubernatorial bid". VTDigger.org. Retrieved December 11, 2011.
- ^ a b Steimle, Susie (December 7, 2011). "Brock to run for governor". WCAX. Archived from the original on April 6, 2012. Retrieved December 11, 2011.
- ^ Marcy, Darren; Kumka, Cristina (December 21, 2011). "Lauzon wants 2 more years in Barre". Vermont Today. Retrieved February 15, 2012.
- ^ Hallenbeck, Terri (April 25, 2012). "Rutland publisher seeks GOP bid for governor". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved April 27, 2012.
- ^ Remsen, Nancy (September 23, 2011). "Salmon says he wants to remain as Vermont Auditor". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved September 24, 2011.[permanent dead link]
- ^ Heintz, Paul (May 21, 2012). "Prog Candidate to Challenge Gov. Shumlin — At Least For Now". Seven Days. Retrieved May 23, 2012.
- ^ McCarty, Alicia (November 13, 2011). "A look ahead to the key races in the Northeast in 2012". USA Today. Retrieved February 15, 2012.
- ^ Dobbs, Taylor (June 13, 2012). "Sanders' papers filed, Peyton running for governor". VTDigger.org. Retrieved June 23, 2012.
- ^ "2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
- ^ "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on December 1, 2018. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Gubernatorial Ratings". Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
- ^ "American Airlines - Login".
External links
- Elections and Campaign Finance Division at the Vermont Secretary of State
- Campaign sites (Archived)
- Randy Brock (R) for Governor
- Peter Shumlin (D) for Governor
