2018 United States Senate election in Washington
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct resultsCantwell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hutchison: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes: | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Washington took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Washington. Incumbent Democrat Maria Cantwell won election to a fourth term over television news journalist Susan Hutchison, a Republican.
Nonpartisan blanket primary
Candidates
The primary election featured 30 candidates.[1]
Democratic Party
Declared
- Maria Cantwell, incumbent senator[2]
- Don L. Rivers[3]
- Clint Tannehill[4]
- George H. Kalberer
- Mohammad Said
Republican Party
Declared
- Joey Gibson, activist and founder of Patriot Prayer[5]
- Goodspaceguy, perennial candidate[6]
- Susan Hutchison, former chair of the Washington State Republican Party[7]
- Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and former presidential candidate[8]
- Tim Owen
- Matthew D. Heines
- Art Coday
- John Orlinski
- Keith Swank
- RC Smith
- Dave Bryant
- Matt Hawkins
- Glen Stockwell
Withdrawn
- Ron Higgins (withdrew May 19, 2018[9])
Endorsements
Susan Hutchison
- Kim Wyman, Secretary of State[10]
- Jaime Herrera Beutler, U.S. Representative[11]
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. Representative[12]
- Dan Newhouse, U.S. Representative[13]
- Slade Gorton, former U.S. Senator[14]
- J. T. Wilcox, Washington State House of Representatives Minority Leader[15]
- Hunters Heritage Council[16]
- Washington Farm Bureau[17]
Independents
Declared
Write-in
- Clay Johnson, activist[19]
Minor parties
In Washington, primary candidates may declare a preference for any party, and their party preference does not imply that the candidate is nominated or endorsed by the party. Candidates may also declare a preference for new or single-candidate parties.
Declared
- Mike Luke (Libertarian Party)[21]
- Brad Chase (FDFR Party),[a] communications strategist[1]
- Sam Wright (The Human Rights Party)
- Alex Tsimerman (StandupAmerica)[22]
- Steve Hoffman (Freedom Socialist Party), union organizer[23][24]
- James Robert "Jimmie" Deal (Green Party)
Notes
Results
Cantwell—60–70%
Cantwell—50–60%
Cantwell—40–50%
Cantwell—30–40%
Hutchinson—30–40%
Hutchinson—40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Maria Cantwell (incumbent) | 929,961 | 54.68% | |
| Republican | Susan Hutchison | 413,317 | 24.30% | |
| Republican | Keith Swank | 39,818 | 2.34% | |
| Republican | Joey Gibson | 38,676 | 2.27% | |
| Democratic | Clint Tannehill | 35,770 | 2.10% | |
| Republican | Dave Bryant | 33,962 | 2.00% | |
| Republican | Art Coday | 30,654 | 1.80% | |
| Independent | Jennifer Gigi Ferguson | 25,224 | 1.48% | |
| Republican | Tim Owen | 23,167 | 1.36% | |
| Republican | Matt Hawkins | 13,324 | 0.78% | |
| Democratic | Don L. Rivers | 12,634 | 0.74% | |
| Libertarian | Mike Luke | 12,302 | 0.72% | |
| Republican | Glen R. Stockwell | 11,611 | 0.68% | |
| Independent | Thor Amundson | 9,393 | 0.55% | |
| Democratic | Mohammad Said | 8,649 | 0.51% | |
| Republican | Matthew D. Heines | 7,737 | 0.45% | |
| Freedom Socialist | Steve Hoffman | 7,390 | 0.43% | |
| Republican | GoodSpaceGuy | 7,057 | 0.41% | |
| Republican | John Orlinski | 6,905 | 0.41% | |
| Independent | Dave Strider | 6,821 | 0.40% | |
| Republican | Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | 5,724 | 0.34% | |
| Green | James Robert "Jimmie" Deal | 3,849 | 0.23% | |
| The Human Rights Party | Sam Wright | 3,761 | 0.22% | |
| FDFR Party | Brad Chase | 2,655 | 0.16% | |
| Democratic | George H. Kalberer | 2,448 | 0.14% | |
| Independent | Charlie R. Jackson | 2,411 | 0.14% | |
| Republican | R. C. Smith | 2,238 | 0.13% | |
| Independent | Jon Butler | 2,016 | 0.12% | |
| StandUpAmerica | Alex Tsimerman | 1,366 | 0.08% | |
| Total votes | 1,700,840 | 100.00% | ||
General election
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Maria Cantwell | Susan Hutchison | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 8, 2018 | KOMO-TV Pacific Lutheran University | Mary Nam Essex Porter | C-SPAN | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 20, 2018 | Community Colleges of Spokane Gonzaga University Eastern Washington University University of Washington Washington State University Spokane Whitworth University | Hayley Guenthner Jane McCarthy | C-SPAN | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[29] | Likely D | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN[30] | Safe D | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[31] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Polling
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Maria Cantwell (D) | Susan Hutchison (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elway/Crosscut | October 4–9, 2018 | 405 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 39% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | May 22–23, 2018 | 675 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 36% | 12% |
Hypothetical polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Maria Cantwell (incumbent) | 1,803,364 | 58.31% | -2.05% | |
| Republican | Susan Hutchison | 1,282,804 | 41.48% | +1.99% | |
| Write-in | 6,461 | 0.21% | +0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 3,092,629 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cowlitz (largest city: Longview)
- Grays Harbor (largest city: Aberdeen)
- Klickitat (Largest city: Goldendale)
- Mason (largest city: Shelton)
- Skamania (Largest city: Carson)
- Yakima (Largest city: Yakima)
- Wahkiakum (Largest city: Puget Island)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Cantwell won 7 of 10 congressional districts.[33]
| District | Hutchison | Cantwell | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 43% | 57% | Suzan DelBene |
| 2nd | 39% | 61% | Rick Larsen |
| 3rd | 51% | 49% | Jaime Herrera Beutler |
| 4th | 62% | 38% | Dan Newhouse |
| 5th | 53% | 47% | Cathy McMorris Rodgers |
| 6th | 43% | 57% | Derek Kilmer |
| 7th | 16% | 84% | Pramila Jayapal |
| 8th | 49% | 51% | Kim Schrier |
| 9th | 27% | 73% | Adam Smith |
| 10th | 44% | 56% | Denny Heck |
Notes
- ^ a b Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
References
- ^ a b c Camden, Jim (May 19, 2018). "U.S. Senate primary: Cantwell and 29 challengers". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved July 23, 2018.
- ^ CANTWELL, MARIA
- ^ RIVERS, DON L MR
- ^ TANNEHILL, CLINT RONALD
- ^ Kavanaugh, Shane Dixon (February 25, 2018). "Patriot Prayer leader Joey Gibson plans U.S. Senate run in Washington". Oregon Live. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
- ^ "Who has filed - King County". King County. May 16, 2018. Retrieved May 16, 2018.
- ^ O'Sullivan, Joseph; Brunner, Jim (May 18, 2018). "Former State Republican Party chair Susan Hutchison challenging Sen. Maria Cantwell". The Seattle Times. Retrieved May 21, 2018.
- ^ "Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente".
- ^ "2018 Candidates Who Have Filed". Retrieved June 29, 2018.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "WA Secretary of State @KimWyman12 endorses @Susan4Senate. Grateful that our state's favorite elected official knows who's best for US Senate! #susan4senate". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "I'm honored to be endorsed by @JaimeforUSRep, a fierce advocate for Southwest Washington! Let's have a strong showing from Republican voters all across the state today!". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "Yet another important early endorsement for our campaign: Congresswoman Cathy McMorris Rodgers. Republicans all across Washington are rallying behind our campaign for US Senate; be sure to return your ballot by August 7th! #Susan4Senate". Facebook.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "Thank you to Congressman Dan Newhouse for his endorsement of our campaign! Proud to call him a friend and appreciate all he does for #WA04. Remember to return your ballots by Aug 7 and vote #Susan4Senate!". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "Proudly Endorsed by Former U.S. Senator Slade Gorton". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "Honored to have the endorsement of my friend and next WA House Speaker, @jtwilcox111". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "The 45,000-strong Hunters Heritage Council has endorsed @susan4senate! #susan4senate #hunting #waelex". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "I am proud to be endorsed by the Washington Farm Bureau, and will always fight to protect our private property and water rights from burdensome federal regulations. #Susan4Senate". Twitter.
- ^ Details for Candidate ID : S8WA00202
- ^ a b Coleman, Miles (July 5, 2017). "2018 Senate Race Ratings - July 2017". Decision Desk HQ. Archived from the original on June 29, 2018. Retrieved September 2, 2017.
- ^ STRIDER, DAVID LEE
- ^ "Mike Luke (L) for Senate". Archived from the original on January 2, 2018. Retrieved January 13, 2018.
- ^ TSIMERMAN, ALEX
- ^ McNamara, Neal (February 26, 2018). "Patriot Prayer Founder Joey Gibson Will Run Against Cantwell". Seattle Patch. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
- ^ "Campaign Kickoff Party: Steve Hoffman for U.S. Senate". Freedom Socialist Party. February 23, 2018. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
- ^ "United States Senate primary election in Washington, 2018". Office of the Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved June 6, 2019.
- ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "November 6, 2018 General Election Results - U.S. Senator".
- ^ Results (PDF). wei.sos.wa.gov (Report). Archived from the original (PDF) on June 30, 2018.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites
- Maria Cantwell (D) for Senate
- Susan Hutchison (R) for Senate
