2020 Tuscan regional election

Election in Tuscany, Italy
2020 Tuscan regional election
← 2015 20–21 September 2020 2025 →
All 41 seats in the Regional Council
Turnout62.6% (Increase14.3%)
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader Eugenio Giani Susanna Ceccardi
Party Democratic Party Lega
Alliance Centre-left Centre-right
Seats won 25 14
Seat change Steady0 Increase5
Popular vote 864,310 719,266
Percentage 48.6% 40.5%
Swing Increase0.5% Increase10.1%[1]
President before election

Enrico Rossi
Democratic Party

Elected President

Eugenio Giani
Democratic Party

Politics of Tuscany
  • v
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  • e

The 2020 Tuscan regional election was the 7th regional election held in Tuscany, Italy, and took place on 20 and 21 September 2020. It was originally scheduled to take place on 31 May 2020, but it was delayed due to the coronavirus pandemic in Italy.[2][3] The Democratic candidate, Eugenio Giani, defeated the League candidate, Susanna Ceccardi. Giani took office as President of Tuscany on October 8, 2020.

Electoral system

Tuscany uses its own legislation of 2014 to elect its Regional Council. The councillors are elected in provincial constituencies by proportional representation using the D'Hondt method. The constituency of Florence is further divided into 4 sub-constituencies. Preferential voting is allowed: a maximum of two preferences can be expressed for candidates of the same party list and provided the two chosen candidates are of different gender.

In this system, parties are grouped in alliances supporting a candidate for the post of President of Tuscany. The candidate receiving at least 40% of the votes is elected to the post and his/her list (or the coalition) is awarded a majority of 23 seats in the Regional Council plus the seat of the President (24+1 seats with more than 45% of the vote). If no candidate gets more than 40% of the votes, a run-off is held fourteen days later, where the two top candidates from the first round run against each other. The winning candidate is then ensured a majority in the Regional Council.[4]

Council apportionment

According to the official 2011 Italian census, the 40 Council seats which must be covered by proportional representation are so distributed between Tuscan provinces. The number of seats to be assigned in each province is the following:

 AR   FI   GR   LI   LU   MS   PI   PT   PO   SI 
4 11 2 4 4 2 4 3 3 3

The Province of Florence is further divided into smaller electoral colleges.

Parties and candidates

Political party or alliance Constituent lists Previous result Candidate
Votes (%) Seats
Centre-left coalition Democratic Party (PD) (incl. DemoS) 45.9 24 Eugenio Giani
Italia Viva – More Europe (IV – +E) — —
Civic Ecologist Left (incl. Art.1) — —
Proud Tuscany for Giani (incl. PSI, PRI, CD and IdV) — —
Green Europe (EV) — —
Svolta! (IiC – Volt – Tuscany in the Heart) — —
Centre-right coalition League (Lega) 16.0 4 Susanna Ceccardi
Forza Italia (FI) 8.4 1
Brothers of Italy (FdI) 3.8 1
Civic Tuscany (incl. C! and FN[5]) — —
Five Star Movement (M5S) 15.0 4 Irene Galletti
Tuscany to the Left (incl. SI, PRC, PaP, SA, èViva) 6.3 1 Tommaso Fattori
Communist Party (PC) — — Salvatore Catello
Italian Communist Party (PCI) — — Marco Barzanti
3V Movement (M3V) — —
Tiziana Vigni

Opinion polls

Candidates

Date Polling firm/
Client 		Sample size Giani Ceccardi Galletti Fattori Catello Others Undecided Lead
4 Sep 2020 Lab2101 – 41.7 43.1 8.4 — — 6.8 — 1.4
28 Aug–3 Sep 2020 Quorum 2,000 42.0 38.0 8.0 6.0 — 6.0 — 4.0
29 Aug–2 Sep 2020 SWG 1,100 44.0 42.0 8.5 3.0 — 2.5 — 2.0
28 Aug–2 Sep 2020 Demetra[a] 500 43.0 33.0 11.0 10.0 — 3.0 — 10.0
27–29 Aug 2020 EMG 1,000 44.0 41.5 8.0 — — 5.5 — 2.5
27–28 Aug 2020 Scenari Politici–Winpoll 1,000 43.0 42.5 8.3 — — 6.2 — 0.5
25 Aug 2020 Tecnè 2,000 43–47 39–43 5–9 — — 5–9 — 0–8
24 Aug–2 Sep 2020 Noto — 42–46 39–43 7–11 — — 4–8 — -1–7
30 Jun 2020 EMG — 46.5 40.5 8.0 — — 5.0 — 6.0
29–30 Jun 2020 Tecnè 1,000 46.0 40.5 8.0 — — 5.5 17.6 5.5
28 Jun 2020 Demopolis — 45.0 42.0 7.0 4.0 — 2.0 25.0 3.0
26 Jun 2020 Noto[a] 1,000 46.0 40.0 8.0 — — 6.0 — 6.0
29–31 May 2020 Noto[a] 1,000 44.0 40.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 24.0 4.0
18–19 Feb 2020 EMG 1,000 50.0 40.0 5.5 — 3.0 1.5 — 10.0

Hypothetical candidates

Date Polling firm/
Client 		Sample size Giani Ceccardi Other CDX Galletti Others Undecided Lead
19–23 Dec 2019 EMG – 48.0 — 40.5[b] 8.5 3.0 — 7.5
48.0 40.0 — 9.0 3.0 — 8.0
48.0 — 39.5[c] 9.0 3.0 — 8.5
28 Nov–5 Dec 2019 SWG 1,000 44.0 44.0 — 7.0 5.0 17.0 Tie
46.0 46.0 — w. CSX 8.0 20.0 Tie

Parties

Date Polling firm Sample size Centre-left Centre-right M5S Others Undecided Lead
PD IV LS Other Lega FI FdI Other
29 Aug–2 Sep 2020 SWG 2,000 33.5 4.0 — 5.0 28.0 5.5 9.0 0.5 9.0 5.5 — 5.5
28 Aug–3 Sep 2020 Quorum 2,000 31.9 5.8 — 6.6 23.2 3.8 10.8 1.8 8.5 7.6 — 7.7
27–29 Aug 2020 EMG 1,000 31.0 7.5 — 5.5 24.5 5.0 10.0 2.0 8.0 5.5 — 6.5
27–28 Aug 2020 Scenari Politici–Winpoll 1,000 22.6 5.7 7.6 5.7 24.1 5.4 11.8 2.5 8.3 6.3 — 1.5
24–29 Jun 2020 EMG[a] 2,000 31.5 8.0 2.0 4.0 25.0 4.0 11.0 1.5 8.0 5.0 — 6.5
29–31 May 2020 Noto[a] 1,000 33.0 6.0 1.5 4.5 24.0 4.0 11.5 3.0 5.0 7.5 26.0 9.0
18–19 Feb 2020 EMG 1,000 32.0 10.0 6.0 27.0 3.0 11.0 – 6.0 5.0 — 5.0
29 Dec 2019 EMG – 30.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 27.0 6.0 8.0 – 10.0 12.0 — 3.0
28 Nov–5 Dec 2019 SWG 1,000 29.0 5.0 4.5 5.5 34.0 3.0 5.0 2.5 8.0 3.5 18.0 5.0
12–18 Jul 2018 Ipsos 800 28.5 — 3.9 2.3 29.5 8.4 4.0 0.2 21.0 2.2 — 1.0
  1. ^ a b c d e This poll was commissioned by a political party.
  2. ^ Antonfrancesco Vivarelli Colonna (Independent)
  3. ^ Giovanni Donzelli (FdI)

Results

20–21 September 2020 Tuscan regional election results
Candidates Votes % Seats Parties Votes % Seats
Eugenio Giani 864,310 48.62 1 Democratic Party 563,116 34.69 22
Italia Viva – More Europe 72,649 4.48 2
Civic Ecologist Left 48,410 2.98 –
Proud Tuscany for Giani 47,778 2.94 –
Green Europe 26,924 1.66 –
Svolta! 5,246 0.32 –
Total 764,123 47.08 24
Susanna Ceccardi 719,266 40.46 2 League 353,514 21.78 7
Brothers of Italy 219,165 13.50 4
Forza Italia – UDC 69,456 4.28 1
Civic Tuscany for Change 16,923 1.04 –
Total 659,058 40.60 12
Irene Galletti 113,796 6.40 1 Five Star Movement 113,836 7.01 1
Tommaso Fattori 39,684 2.23 – Tuscany to the Left 46,514 2.87 –
Salvatore Catello 17,007 0.96 – Communist Party 17,032 1.05 –
Marco Barzanti 16,078 0.90 – Italian Communist Party 15,617 0.96 –
Tiziana Vigni 7,668 0.43 – 3V Movement 6,974 0.43 –
Total candidates 1,777,809 100.00 4 Total parties 1,623,154 100.00 37
Source: Tuscany Region – Electoral Services


Popular vote – Parties
PD
 
 34.69%
League
 
 21.78%
FdI
 
 13.50%
M5S
 
 7.01%
IV
 
 4.48%
FI
 
 4.28%
SCE
 
 2.98%
PT
 
 2.94%
TaS
 
 2.87%
Others
 
 5.47%
Popular vote – President
Giani
 
 48.62%
Ceccardi
 
 40.46%
Galletti
 
 6.40%
Fattori
 
 2.23%
Others
 
 2.29%
Regional Council – Seats summary
Centre-left
 
 60.97%
Centre-right
 
 34.15%
M5S
 
 4.88%

Results by province and capital city

Province Eugenio Giani Susanna Ceccardi Others
Florence 283,573
57.42% 		155,492
31.48% 		54,861
11.12%
Pisa 99,871
47.65% 		86,800
41.42% 		22,911
10.93%
Lucca 73,329
39.73% 		93,003
50.39% 		18,242
9.88%
Arezzo 72,810
44.41% 		75,488
46.05% 		15,634
9.53%
Livorno 71,294
46.18% 		58,773
38.07% 		24.313
15.75%
Pistoia 61,161
44.02% 		63,703
45.85% 		14,068
10.13%
Siena 67,365
52.60% 		47,861
37.37% 		12,851
10.04%
Prato 52,616
46.69% 		48,514
43.05% 		11,558
10.27%
Grosseto 43,200
42.04% 		49,047
47.74% 		10,491
10.22%
Massa-Carrara 39,091
43.92% 		40,618
45.63% 		9,304
10.45%
Total 864,310
48.62% 		719,266
40.46% 		194,233
10.92%
City Eugenio Giani Susanna Ceccardi Others
Florence 109,025
60.30% 		53,696
29.70% 		18,083
10.00%
Prato 38,794
46.85% 		35,538
42.92% 		8,382
10.23%
Livorno 35,547
48.36% 		24,009
32.67% 		13,942
18.97%
Arezzo 20,595
42.02% 		24,002
49.01% 		4,397
8.97%
Pisa 23,046
52.66% 		16,085
36.76% 		4,631
10.58%
Pistoia 21,365
48.54% 		18,214
41.38% 		4,438
10.08%
Lucca 17,721
42.73% 		19,735
47.58% 		4,020
9.69%
Grosseto 16,171
42.39% 		18,246
47.83% 		3,728
9.44%
Massa 13,598
43.98% 		13,890
44.93% 		3,428
12.09%
Siena 14,007
51.40% 		10,925
40.09% 		2,321
8.51%

Turnout

Region Time
20 Sep 21 Sep
12:00 19:00 23:00 15:00
Tuscany 14.60% 36.29% 45.89% 62.60%
Province Time
20 Sep 21 Sep
12:00 19:00 23:00 15:00
Arezzo 13.63% 35.60% 45.50% 64.60%
Florence 16.60% 39.74% 49.96% 66.47%
Grosseto 14.41% 33.68% 41.87% 60.87%
Livorno 14.59% 32.87% 40.95% 57.33%
Lucca 12.39% 32.97% 41.34% 56.64%
Massa and Carrara 12.22% 30.98% 39.33% 54.91%
Pisa 15.27% 37.77% 48.65% 65.57%
Pistoia 13.90% 35.77% 45.75% 61.66%
Prato 15.61% 39.69% 49.79% 64.79%
Siena 13.98% 36.22% 46.53% 64.84%
Source: Tuscany Region – Turnout


See also

References

  1. ^ The swing comes from the combined result of LN–FdI (20.0%), Forza Italia (9.1%) and UdC (1.3%) in the 2015 regional election.
  2. ^ "Il governo ha rinviato le elezioni regionali e comunali". Il Post (in Italian). 20 April 2020. Retrieved 25 April 2020.
  3. ^ Elezioni Regionali, il 31 Maggio si vota in Toscana, Veneto, Campania, Puglia, Liguria e Marche
  4. ^ "Articolo » Raccolta Normativa Regione Toscana". Raccoltanormativa.consiglio.regione.toscana.it. Retrieved 2016-04-02.
  5. ^ Elezioni regionali Toscana, il Pd: “Candidato di Forza Nuova a Siena nella lista per Ceccardi”