2024 California's 16th congressional district election
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The 2024 California's 16th congressional district election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the United States Representative for California's 16th congressional district, concurrently with elections for the other U.S. House districts in California and the rest of the country, as well as the 2024 U.S. Senate race in California, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election was held on March 5, 2024, concurrently with the Super Tuesday presidential primaries.
The 16th district is based in Silicon Valley, including portions of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties, extending from the southwestern San Francisco Bay Area through the Santa Cruz Mountains to the Pacific coast. Its largest cities are San Jose, Mountain View, and Palo Alto.[1] Joe Biden won the district with 75.4% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election, making it a safe Democratic district.[2]
The incumbent is Democrat Anna Eshoo, who was re-elected with 57.8% of the vote in 2022 against another Democrat.[3] She did not seek re-election.[4] A wide field of 11 candidates filed for the race to succeed her, with 9 Democrats and 2 Republicans joining the race. The primary election was very close, with initial returns showing a heated battle for the two spots in the general election. A week after the primary, media outlets reported that former Mayor of San Jose Sam Liccardo had taken the first spot. However, his challenger was not determined for several more weeks, as state assemblyman Evan Low and Santa Clara County supervisor Joe Simitian repeatedly traded the second-place position during the vote count process.[5]
By April 3, both Low and Simitian tied with 30,249 votes each and advanced to the general election under a stipulation by California elections code regarding a second-place tie in primary elections.[5] Santa Clara and San Mateo counties certified the primary results on April 4.[6] The Los Angeles Times reported that there was a low chance for either Low or Simitian to request a recount, since the results of a recount could potentially lead to themselves being removed from the ballot instead. The primary results marked the second time since California transitioned to a nonpartisan blanket primary system in 2012 in which there was a second-place tie in a primary election and a subsequent three-candidate general election, the first being the 2016 election for California's 62nd State Assembly district.[a][5]
Primary election
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Candidates
Advanced to general
- Sam Liccardo (Democratic), former mayor of San Jose (2015–2023)[7]
- Evan Low (Democratic), state assemblyman from the 26th district (2014–present)[8]
- Joe Simitian (Democratic), Santa Clara County supervisor from the 5th district (1996–2000, 2013–present) and former state senator from the 11th district (2004–2012)[9]
Eliminated in primary
- Joby Bernstein (Democratic), financial advisor and graduate student[10]
- Peter Dixon (Democratic), cybersecurity executive and former U.S. State Department staffer[11]
- Rishi Kumar (Democratic), former Saratoga city councilor and runner-up for this district[b] in 2020 and 2022[10]
- Julie Lythcott-Haims (Democratic), Palo Alto city councilor[11]
- Ahmed Mostafa (Democratic), attorney[12]
- Peter Ohtaki (Republican), former mayor of Menlo Park and perennial candidate[10]
- Karl Ryan (Republican), businessman[10]
- Greg Tanaka (Democratic), Palo Alto city councilor and candidate for this district in 2022[12]
Declined
- Josh Becker (Democratic), state senator from the 13th district (2020–present)[13] (running for re-election)[12]
- Marc Berman (Democratic), state assemblyman from the 23rd district (2016–present)[14] (running for re-election)[12]
- Anna Eshoo (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[4] (endorsed Simitian)[15]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Joby Bernstein (D) | $140,836[c] | $59,832 | $81,003 |
| Peter Dixon (D) | $2,792,923[d] | $1,894,060 | $898,862 |
| Rishi Kumar (D) | $289,503[e] | $186,637 | $101,756 |
| Sam Liccardo (D) | $2,206,228 | $988,382 | $1,217,845 |
| Evan Low (D) | $1,369,551[f] | $1,024,180 | $345,371 |
| Julie Lythcott-Haims (D) | $595,779 | $443,035 | $152,744 |
| Ahmed Mostafa (D) | $201,773 | $127,469 | $74,303 |
| Joe Simitian (D) | $951,156 | $932,783 | $588,744 |
| Greg Tanaka (D) | $15,080[g] | $13,182 | $1,898 |
| Peter Ohtaki (R) | $54,169[h] | $32,982 | $21,187 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[16] | |||
Endorsements
Peter Dixon (D)
- U.S. Representatives
- Jason Crow, CO-06 (2019–present)[17]
- Don Davis, NC-01 (2023–present)[17]
- Chris Deluzio, PA-17 (2023–present)[17]
- Jared Golden, ME-02 (2019–present)[17]
- Seth Moulton, MA-6 (2015–present)[18]
- Pat Ryan, NY-18 (2022–present)[17]
- Mikie Sherrill, NJ-11 (2019–present)[17]
- Organizations
- New Politics (co-founder)[19]
- VoteVets[20]
- With Honor Fund[21]
Sam Liccardo (D)
- U.S. Representatives
- Linda Sánchez, CA-38 (2003–present)[22]
- Local officials
- Matt Mahan, mayor of San Jose (2023–present)[23]
- Organizations
- Newspapers
Julie Lythcott-Haims (D)
- U.S. Senators
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013–present)[29]
- U.S. Representatives
- Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative from Florida (2013–present)[30]
- Organizations
Rishi Kumar (D)
- Organizations
Evan Low (D)
- U.S. Senators
- Laphonza Butler, U.S. Senator from California (2023–present)[34]
- Statewide officials
- Eleni Kounalakis, Lieutenant Governor of California (2019–present)[35]
- Ricardo Lara, California Insurance Commissioner (2019–present)[35]
- Fiona Ma, California State Treasurer (2019–present)[35]
- U.S. Representatives
- Becca Balint, VT-AL (2023–present)[36]
- Judy Chu, CA-28 (2009–present)[37]
- Jimmy Gomez, CA-34 (2017–present)[36]
- Pramila Jayapal, WA-07 (2017–present)[38]
- Ro Khanna, CA-17 (2017–present)[8]
- Mark Pocan, WI-02 (2013–present)[38]
- Jamie Raskin, MD-08 (2017–present)[38]
- Mark Takano, CA-39 (2013–present)[37]
- Jill Tokuda, HI-02 (2023–present)[36]
- Ritchie Torres, NY-15 (2021–present)[39]
- State legislators
- Rich Gordon, state assemblymember from the 24th district (2010–2016)[35]
- County officials
- Ken Yeager, former Santa Clara County supervisor (2006–2018)[35]
- Judges
- LaDoris Cordell, former California Superior Court judge[35]
- Organizations
- AAPI Victory Fund[40]
- ASPIRE PAC[41]
- Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC[38]
- Equality California[42]
- Equality PAC[35]
- LGBTQ+ Victory Fund[43]
- Labor unions
- Association of Flight Attendants[44]
- California Federation of Labor[45]
- California Professional Firefighters[46]
- IBEW Locals 617 and 1245[47][48]
- National Nurses United[49]
- South Bay Labor Council[50]
- Newspapers
Ahmed Mostafa (D)
- Organizations
Peter Ohtaki (R)
Karl Ryan (R)
- Political parties
Joe Simitian (D)
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[i] | Margin of error | Rishi Kumar (D) | Sam Liccardo (D) | Evan Low (D) | Julie Lythcott- Haims (D) | Peter Ohtaki (R) | Karl Ryan (R) | Joe Simitian (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Problosky Research[A] | January 21–28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5% | 7.5% | 16% | 7.3% | 4% | 2.5% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 9.4%[j] | 33.8% |
| RMG Research[B] | January 3–4, 2024 | 426 (LV) | ± 4.7 | 6% | 13% | 11% | 5% | 2% | — | 12% | 2%[k] | 46% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[C] | November 2023 | 400 (LV) | ? | 7% | 16% | 5% | — | 6% | 9% | 12% | 11%[l] | 33% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sam Liccardo | 38,489 | 21.1 | |
| Democratic | Evan Low | 30,249 | 16.6 | |
| Democratic | Joe Simitian | 30,249 | 16.6 | |
| Republican | Peter Ohtaki | 23,275 | 12.8 | |
| Democratic | Peter Dixon | 14,673 | 8.1 | |
| Democratic | Rishi Kumar | 12,377 | 6.8 | |
| Republican | Karl Ryan | 11,557 | 6.3 | |
| Democratic | Julie Lythcott-Haims | 11,383 | 6.2 | |
| Democratic | Ahmed Mostafa | 5,811 | 3.2 | |
| Democratic | Greg Tanaka | 2,421 | 1.3 | |
| Democratic | Joby Bernstein | 1,651 | 0.9 | |
| Total votes | 182,135 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[64] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[65] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[66] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[67] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
| CNalysis[68] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sam Liccardo | |||
| Democratic | Evan Low | |||
| Democratic | Joe Simitian | |||
| Total votes | ||||
| Democratic hold | ||||
Notes
- ^ In the 2016 California's 62nd State Assembly district election, incumbent Assemblymember Autumn Burke faced off against two write-in candidates who tied with 32 primary votes each.[5]
- ^ This district was numbered as the 18th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
- ^ $3,000 of this total was self-funded by Bernstein
- ^ $1,400,000 of this total was self-funded by Dixon
- ^ $15,000 of this total was self-funded by Kumar
- ^ $13,661 of this total was self-funded by Low
- ^ $13,182 of this total was self-funded by Tanaka
- ^ $40,000 of this total was self-funded by Ohtaki
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Peter Dixon (D) with 4.3%; Ahmed Mostafa (D) and Greg Tanaka (D) each with 2.3%; Joby Bernstein with 0.5%
- ^ Joby Bernstein (D), Peter Dixon (D), Ahmed Mostafa (D), and Greg Tanaka (D) with 0%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Sally Lieber (D) with 7%; Josh Becker (D) with 4%; Joby Bernstein (D) with 1%
- Partisan clients
References
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections congressional district geographic descriptions & largest places (119th Congress)". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 4, 2024.
- ^ Nir, David (November 14, 2022). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on November 24, 2023. Retrieved November 27, 2023.
- ^ a b Adragna, Anthony (November 21, 2023). "Veteran California Democrat Anna Eshoo plans to leave Congress, marking retirement record". Politico. Archived from the original on November 21, 2023. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Wick, Julia (April 3, 2024). "Every vote counts in Silicon Valley, where two congressional candidates literally tied for second place". Los Angeles Times.
- ^ Hase, Grace (April 4, 2024). "It's official: Counties certify results to send Liccardo, Low and Simitian to the general election". The Mercury News. Archived from the original on April 4, 2024.
{{cite web}}:|archive-date=/|archive-url=timestamp mismatch; April 5, 2024 suggested (help) - ^ Hase, Grace (December 8, 2023). "Ex-San Jose Mayor Sam Liccardo is officially running for U.S Rep. Anna Eshoo's Congress seat". The Mercury News. Archived from the original on December 8, 2023. Retrieved December 8, 2023.
- ^ a b Geha, Joseph (December 5, 2023). "It's official: Evan Low is running for Silicon Valley congressional seat". San José Spotlight. Archived from the original on December 12, 2023. Retrieved December 5, 2023.
- ^ Hase, Grace (November 29, 2023). "Santa Clara County Supervisor Joe Simitian to run for Congresswoman Anna Eshoo's open seat". The Mercury News. Archived from the original on November 30, 2023. Retrieved November 30, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Giwargis, Ramona (November 21, 2023). "Silicon Valley Congresswoman Anna Eshoo expected to retire". San Jose Spotlight. Archived from the original on November 21, 2023. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ a b Hase, Grace (December 7, 2023). "Palo Alto Councilmember Julie Lythcott-Haims, tech entrepreneur Peter Dixon announce bids for U.S. Rep. Anna Eshoo's congressional seat". The Mercury News. Archived from the original on December 7, 2023. Retrieved December 7, 2023.
- ^ a b c d "Certified List of Candidates" (PDF). California Secretary of State. December 28, 2023. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 29, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ Baker, Alex (December 6, 2023). "State Sen. Josh Becker not running for Eshoo's seat". KRON-TV. Archived from the original on December 7, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
- ^ Singer, Jeff (November 30, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 11/30". Daily Kos. Archived from the original on November 30, 2023. Retrieved November 30, 2023.
Politico does report, however, that Assemblyman Marc Berman won't run for Congress, though we hadn't previously heard his name mentioned.
- ^ a b Hase, Grace (January 10, 2024). "Congresswoman Anna Eshoo endorses Joe Simitian in competitive race to succeed her". The Mercury News. Archived from the original on January 10, 2024. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - California 16th". Federal Election Commission. Archived from the original on November 21, 2023. Retrieved November 25, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f Sheyner, Gennady (December 22, 2023). "Who will succeed Eshoo? Here are the candidates". Palo Alto Weekly. Archived from the original on January 8, 2024. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
- ^ "Candidates". Serve America PAC. Archived from the original on January 21, 2024. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
- ^ "Endorsement: Peter Dixon for California's 16th Congressional District". New Politics. December 20, 2023. Archived from the original on December 21, 2023. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
- ^ "VoteVets PAC Endorses Peter Dixon for Congress". VoteVets. February 22, 2024. Archived from the original on February 23, 2024. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Candidates". With Honor Fund. Archived from the original on January 2, 2024. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
- ^ "CHC BOLD PAC Announces New 2024 Endorsements". www.boldpac.com. February 5, 2024. Archived from the original on March 2, 2024. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
- ^ "San Jose mayor endorses predecessor for Congress". San José Spotlight. January 17, 2024. Archived from the original on January 17, 2024. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
- ^ García, Jesús (January 23, 2024). "Dos candidatos al Congreso de California y Oregon avanzan bajo el brazo de BOLD PAC". La Opinión (in Spanish). Archived from the original on February 3, 2024. Retrieved February 3, 2024.
- ^ "RELEASE: Democrats Serve PAC endorses three new candidates in competitive House races". Democrats Serve. February 28, 2024. Archived from the original on March 2, 2024. Retrieved March 2, 2024.
- ^ Jevin, Katie (February 23, 2024). "Everytown For Gun Safety Endorses First Round of Moms Demand Action Volunteers, Everytown Leaders Running for Office". Moms Demand Action. Archived from the original on February 23, 2024. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
- ^ a b "Editorial: Send Sam Liccardo to Congress to fill Anna Eshoo's seat". The Mercury News. February 2, 2024. Archived from the original on February 2, 2024. Retrieved February 2, 2024.
- ^ Board, Chronicle Editorial (January 29, 2024). "Endorsement: Only one candidate brings experience, ideas to California District 16 congressional race". San Francisco Chronicle. Archived from the original on January 30, 2024. Retrieved January 30, 2024.
- ^ "Silicon Valley congressional candidate gets first endorsement from U.S. senator". San José Spotlight. December 31, 2023. Archived from the original on December 31, 2023. Retrieved December 31, 2023.
- ^ "Elect Democratic Women Endorses Julie Lythcott-Haims for California's 16th Congressional District". Elect Democratic Women. February 20, 2024. Archived from the original on February 20, 2024. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
- ^ Wolf, Stephen (February 7, 2024). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 2/7". Daily Kos. Archived from the original on February 7, 2024. Retrieved February 7, 2024.
EMILYs List issued endorsements in three California House races on Wednesday, giving its support to former state environmental official Jessica Morse in the 3rd District, Palo Alto City Councilmember Julie Lythcott-Haims in the 16th, and Assemblywoman Luz Rivas in the 29th.
- ^ "LPAC January 2024 Endorsements". LPAC. January 16, 2024. Archived from the original on January 17, 2024. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
- ^ "Endorsements". Hindu American PAC. Archived from the original on January 21, 2024. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
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- ^ a b c d e f g Bajko, Matthew (January 8, 2024). "Political Notes: Low, Bauters rack up endorsements in their House, supervisor races". Bay Area Reporter. Archived from the original on January 8, 2024. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
- ^ a b c Altmari, Daniela; McIntire, Mary Ellen; Lesniewski, Niels (February 8, 2024). "At the Races: Border battle fallout". Roll Call. Archived from the original on February 8, 2024. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ a b Migdon, Brooke (December 5, 2023). "California assemblyman Evan Low joins race to replace retiring Rep. Eshoo". The Hill. Archived from the original on December 5, 2023. Retrieved December 5, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Bailey, Ernest (February 5, 2024). "Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC Endorses Evan Low For CA-16". Progressive Caucus. Archived from the original on February 6, 2024. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
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- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". Archived from the original on February 21, 2024. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
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- ^ "Be a Clean Water Voter: 2024 California Endorsements | Clean Water Action". cleanwater.org. Archived from the original on February 26, 2024. Retrieved February 26, 2024.
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- ^ "Endorsements". UFW. Archived from the original on September 11, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
- ^ "Editorial: Simitian best choice for Congress". Palo Alto Daily Post. March 4, 2024. Archived from the original on March 8, 2024. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
- ^ "U.S. House of Representatives District 16 - Districtwide Results". California Secretary of State. March 22, 2024. Retrieved March 24, 2024.
- ^ "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. February 2, 2023. Archived from the original on February 3, 2023. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
- ^ "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Archived from the original on March 22, 2021. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
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- ^ "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Archived from the original on November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Joby Bernstein (D) for Congress
- Rishi Kumar (D) for Congress
- Sam Liccardo (D) for Congress
- Evan Low (D) for Congress
- Peter Ohtaki (R) for Congress
- Karl Ryan (R) for Congress
- Joe Simitian (D) for Congress
