2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Tennessee. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn has filed to run for a second term and is actively campaigning. There has also been speculation that she could be a vice presidential pick for Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign.[1] Primary elections will take place on August 1, 2024.
Background
At the federal and state levels, Tennessee is considered to be a strongly red state, having gone to Donald Trump by 23 points in the 2020 Presidential Election. In Tennessee, Republicans occupy both Senate seats, 8 out of 9 U.S. House seats, supermajorities in both state legislative chambers, and the governor's office.
Due to Tennessee's strong conservative bent, this race is currently considered a "Safe" Republican hold.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Marsha Blackburn, incumbent U.S. Senator (2019–present)[2]
- Tres Wittum, legislative policy analyst and candidate for Tennessee's 5th congressional district in 2022[3]
Endorsements
Marsha Blackburn
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Marsha Blackburn (R) | $10,565,541 | $3,758,126 | $7,421,514 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[7] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Marsha Blackburn (incumbent) | |||
| Republican | Tres Wittum | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Marquita Bradshaw, staffing consultant and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020[8]
- Lola Brown, minister[3]
- Gloria Johnson, state representative from the 90th district (2013–2015, 2019–present) and member of the Tennessee Three[9]
- Kevin McCants, production supervisor and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[3]
- Civil Miller-Watkins, former Fayette County school board member[10]
Declined
- Joanne Sowell, attorney[11]
Endorsements
Gloria Johnson
- Individuals
- Ruby Amanfu, musician[12]
- Kyshona Armstrong, musician[12]
- Sam Ashworth, musician[12]
- Mya Byrne, musician[12]
- Brandi Carlile, musician[12]
- Beth Nielsen Chapman, musician[12]
- Shelly Colvin, musician[12]
- Elizabeth Cook, musician[12]
- Brooke Eden, musician[12]
- Kam Franklin, musician[12]
- Mary Gauthier, musician[12]
- Devon Gilfillian, musician[12]
- Emmylou Harris, musician[12]
- Brittany Howard, musician[12]
- Meghan Linsey, musician[12]
- Paul McDonald, musician[12]
- Erin Rae McKaskle, musician[12]
- Morgxn, musician[12]
- Maren Morris, musician[12]
- Katie Pruitt, musician[12]
- Allison Russell, musician[12]
- Amanda Shires, musician[12]
- Lucie Silvas, musician[12]
- Langhorne Slim, musician[12]
- Brittney Spencer, musician[12]
- Lilly Winwood, musician[12]
- Organizations
- Labor unions
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Marquita Bradshaw (D) | $11,687 | $9,285 | $2,402 |
| Gloria Johnson (D) | $2,339,251 | $915,942 | $1,423,308 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[7] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Marquita Bradshaw | Gloria Johnson | Civil Miller-Watkins | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[A] | March 15–April 2, 2024 | 282 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 7% | 38% | 2% | 1% | 52% |
| Targoz Market Research[A] | December 14–28, 2023 | 251 (LV) | ± 2.66% | 11% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 45% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Marquita Bradshaw | |||
| Democratic | Lola Brown | |||
| Democratic | Gloria Johnson | |||
| Democratic | Kevin McCants | |||
| Democratic | Civil Miller-Watkins | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Tharon Chandler, farmer and Democratic nominee for Tennessee's 7th congressional district in 2016[3]
- Pamela Moses, community activist and convicted felon[3]
- Hastina Robinson, firefighter[3]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[15] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[16] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe R | November 9, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[18] | Safe R | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[19] | Safe R | November 21, 2023 |
Polling
- Marsha Blackburn vs. Marquita Bradshaw
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Marsha Blackburn (R) | Marquita Bradshaw (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[A] | March 15–April 2, 2024 | 947 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 46% | 22% | 32% |
| Targoz Market Research[A] | October 5–16, 2023 | 824 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 48% | 36% | 17% |
- Marsha Blackburn vs. Gloria Johnson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Marsha Blackburn (R) | Gloria Johnson (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[A] | March 15–April 2, 2024 | 955 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 45% | 29% | 26% |
| Targoz Market Research[A] | October 5–16, 2023 | 850 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 49% | 29% | 23% |
Notes
- ^ a b c Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
See also
- Elections in Tennessee
- Political party strength in Tennessee
- Tennessee Democratic Party
- Tennessee Republican Party
- Government of Tennessee
- 2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee
- 2024 Tennessee elections
- 2024 United States elections
References
- ^ Steinhauser, Paul (March 18, 2022). "Blackburn's 2022 trips to New Hampshire, Iowa spark some 2024 speculation". Fox News. Retrieved August 19, 2022.
- ^ "Tennessee US Senate Poll".
- ^ a b c d e f "Candidate Lists | Tennessee Secretary of State". sos.tn.gov. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- ^ "Press Releases | Maggie's List". maggieslist.org. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
- ^ "Endorsements". Turning Point Action. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Tennessee". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- ^ Elliott, Stephen (July 20, 2023). "Former Nominee Marquita Bradshaw Running for Senate Again". Nashville Scene. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ^ Kamisar, Ben (September 5, 2023). "Tennessee Democrat reprimanded for gun violence protest is running for Senate". NBC News. Retrieved September 5, 2023.
- ^ McCall, Holly (October 26, 2023). "Fayette County educator Civil Miller-Watkins enters Democratic primary for 2024 Tenn. U.S. Senate". Tennessee Lookout. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
- ^ Elliott, Stephen (July 14, 2023). "Nashville attorney ends U.S. Senate campaign effort". Nashville Post. Retrieved July 16, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z Bloom, Madison (March 13, 2024). "Brittany Howard, Allison Russell, Maren Morris, and More Support U.S. Senate Candidate Gloria Johnson With New Song: Listen". Pitchfork. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Marquita Bradshaw (D) for Senate
- Gloria Johnson (D) for Senate
- Pamela Moses (I) for Senate
