2027 New South Wales state election

2027 New South Wales state election

← 2023 13 March 2027[1] 2031 →
All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly and 21 (of the 42) seats in the Legislative Council 47 Assembly seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Leader Chris Minns Mark Speakman No leader Party Labor Liberal/National coalition Greens Leader since 4 June 2021 21 April 2023 N/A Leader's seat Kogarah Cronulla N/A Last election 45 seats, 36.97% 36 seats, 35.37% 3 seats, 9.70% Current seats 45 35 3 Seats needed 2 12 44
Incumbent Premier Chris Minns Labor

The 2027 New South Wales state election will be held on 13 March 2027 to elect the 59th Parliament of New South Wales, including all 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly and 21 of the 42 seats in the Legislative Council. The election will be conducted by the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC).

The incumbent Labor minority government, led by Premier Chris Minns, will seek to win a second four-year term in office. They will be challenged by the Liberal/National coalition, led by opposition leader Mark Speakman. The Greens, the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party, other minor parties and several independents will also contest the election.

New South Wales has compulsory voting, with optional preferential, instant runoff voting in single-member seats for the lower house, and single transferable voting with optional preferential above-the-line voting in the proportionally represented upper house.

At the previous state election held in 2023, the Australian Labor Party (ALP), led by Chris Minns, won the election after spending 12 years in Opposition. The election saw Labor win 45 seats to the Coalition's 36 seats on election day, allowing Labor to form an initial minority government. The Greens retained their three seats, while the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers lost all three of their seats as a result of their MPs resigning from the party to become independents.

In the Legislative Council (the Upper House), 21 of the 42 seats were up for election. Both the Coalition and Labor won 15 seats each, however after the election of Ben Franklin as President of the Legislative Council, the Coalition's effective vote on the floor on the council was reduced to 14.^[2] The Greens won 4 seats in the Legislative Council. One Nation won 3 seats, which is its largest representation in New South Wales and currently its largest in any Australian parliament (including the federal Parliament). Meanwhile, the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party retained its two seats, the Animal Justice Party lost one of its two seats and two parties (the Legalise Cannabis Party and the Liberal Democrats) won their first ever seats in the New South Wales Parliament.

Since the 2023 state election, there have been five by-elections: in Northern Tablelands, Pittwater, Epping, Hornsby and Port Macquarie.

The parliament has fixed four-year terms with the election held on the fourth Saturday in March,^[3] though the Governor may dissolve the house sooner on the advice of the Premier. Additionally, Section 24B, Paragraph 4 of the Constitution Act 1902 states that “The Legislative Assembly may be dissolved within 2 months before the Assembly is due to expire if the general election would otherwise be required to be held during the same period as a Commonwealth election, during a holiday period or at any other inconvenient time.”^[4] Since 27 March 2027 is Holy Saturday, it is highly unlikely that an election will be held on this day, given the number of citizens of New South Wales who travel or are otherwise occupied during the Easter long weekend. Two months before this date is 27 January 2027; however, since all Australian elections must by law take place on a Saturday, the earliest possible date for the 2027 New South Wales state election (other than by early dissolution) is Saturday 30 January 2027. As of 18 February 2025, the NSW government's media statement was published advising that due to the Easter Holidays on 27 March 2027, it is being brought forward by two weeks early, 13 March 2027. The 2027 Election is the first time that the election has fallen on the Easter weekend since four-year term parliaments were approved by NSW electors at a referendum in 1995.^[1]

Fifteen parties are registered with the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC).^[5] Bold text indicates parliamentary parties.

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote					TPP vote
				ALP	L/NP	GRN	ONP	OTH	ALP	L/NP
13–18 Jul 2025	Resolve[6][7][h]	1,054		38%	32%	13%	—	18%	57%	43%
Mar–22 Apr 2025	Resolve[8][9][i]	1,123		33%	36%	11%	—	20%	51%	49%
24–26 Mar 2025	DemosAU[10][11]	1,013	4.0%	33%	34%	14%	—	19%	54%	46%
18–23 Feb 2025	Resolve[12][13][h]			29%	38%	14%	—	19%	49%	51%
6–20 Nov 2024	Redbridge[14][15]	1,088	3.4%	37%	41%	9%	—	13%	50.5%	49.5%
Sep–Oct 2024	Resolve[16][17][h]	1,111		32%	37%	11%	—	20%	50%	50%
6–29 Aug 2024	Wolf & Smith[18][19]	2,047	2.2%	32%	38%	12%	—	18%	50%	50%
11 Aug 2024	Resolve[20][21][i]	1,000		30%	38%	12%	—	20%	49%	51%
16 Jun 2024	Resolve[22][23][i]	1,000		32%	35%	11%	—	22%	52%	48%
Feb–May 2024	Redbridge[24]	1,376		35%	40%	11%	—	14%	50.5%	49.5%
21 Mar–21 Apr 2024	Resolve[25][j]	1,000		33%	36%	12%	—	19%	52%	48%
25 Feb 2024	Resolve[26][27][i]	1,035		34%	38%	12%	—	17%	51.5%	48.5%
11 Nov 2023	Resolve[28][29][i]	1,100		36%	32%	13%	—	19%	57%	43%
10 Sep 2023	Resolve[30][31][i]	1,019		38%	36%	9%	—	17%	54%	46%
16 Jul 2023	Resolve[32][33][i]	1,012		41%	32%	10%	—	16%	58%	42%
14 May 2023	Resolve[34][35][i]	1,102		44%	31%	9%	—	15%	60%	40%
25 Mar 2023	2023 election			37.0%	35.4%	9.7%	1.8%	16.2%	54.3%	45.7%

• Members of the New South Wales Legislative Council, 2023–2027