Correlation swap

A correlation swap is an over-the-counter financial derivative that allows one to speculate on or hedge risks associated with the observed average correlation, of a collection of underlying products, where each product has periodically observable prices, as with a commodity, exchange rate, interest rate, or stock index.

Payoff Definition

The fixed leg of a correlation swap pays the notional N corr {\displaystyle N_{\text{corr}}} times the agreed strike ρ strike {\displaystyle \rho _{\text{strike}}} , while the floating leg pays the realized correlation ρ realized  {\displaystyle \rho _{\text{realized }}} . The contract value at expiration from the pay-fixed perspective is therefore

N corr ( ρ realized ρ strike ) {\displaystyle N_{\text{corr}}(\rho _{\text{realized}}-\rho _{\text{strike}})}

Given a set of nonnegative weights w i {\displaystyle w_{i}} on n {\displaystyle n} securities, the realized correlation is defined as the weighted average of all pairwise correlation coefficients ρ i , j {\displaystyle \rho _{i,j}} :

ρ realized  := i j w i w j ρ i , j i j w i w j {\displaystyle \rho _{\text{realized }}:={\frac {\sum _{i\neq j}{w_{i}w_{j}\rho _{i,j}}}{\sum _{i\neq j}{w_{i}w_{j}}}}}

Typically ρ i , j {\displaystyle \rho _{i,j}} would be calculated as the Pearson correlation coefficient between the daily log-returns of assets i and j, possibly under zero-mean assumption.

Most correlation swaps trade using equal weights, in which case the realized correlation formula simplifies to:

ρ realized  = 2 n ( n 1 ) i > j ρ i , j {\displaystyle \rho _{\text{realized }}={\frac {2}{n(n-1)}}\sum _{i>j}{\rho _{i,j}}}

The specificity of correlation swaps is somewhat counterintuitive, as the protection buyer pays the fixed, unlike in usual swaps.

Pricing and valuation

No industry-standard models yet exist that have stochastic correlation and are arbitrage-free.

See also

  • Variance swap
  • Rainbow option

Sources

  • Meissner, Gunter (2014). Correlation risk modeling and management : an applied guide including the Basel III correlation framework-- with interactive models in Excel/VBA. Wiley. p. 11. ISBN 978-1118796900.
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