Opinion polling for the 1988 Canadian federal election

Opinion polling for
Canadian federal elections
1984
Opinion polls
1988
Opinion polls
1993
Opinion polls
1997
Opinion polls
2000
Opinion polls

Polls leading up to the 1988 Canadian federal election.

National polls

Graph of opinion polls conducted

Campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PC LPC NDP Other ME Sample Margin
Voting results 43.02 31.92 20.38 4.68 11.10
Gallup November 19, 1988 [1] 40 35 22 3 — — —
Insight Canada Research November 18, 1988 [2] 43 32 20 5 — — —
Angus Reid November 17, 1988 [3] 41 33 23 3 ± 2.5 1,512 8
Gallup November 12, 1988 [4] 35 35 26 4 ± 4.0 1,026 0
Canadian Facts November 8, 1988 [5] 38 38 21 — ± 2.2 2,200 0
Angus Reid November 8, 1988 [6] 39 35 24 — ± 2.5 1,501 4
Environics November 8, 1988 [7] 35 37 24 5 — 1,275 —
Gallup November 5, 1988 [8] 31 43 22 — ± 4.0 1,041 12
Insight Canada Research November 3, 1988 [9] 37 40 20 3 ± 3.2 1,101 3
Environics October 30, 1988 [10] 31 37 26 6 — 727 —
Insight Canada Research November 3, 1988 [10] 35 39 23 3 — 1,100 —
Gallup October 29, 1988 [10] [11] 38 32 27 3 — 1,034 —
Angus Reid October 27, 1988 [12] 35 35 28 2 ± 2.5 1,502 0
Environics October 26, 1988 [10] 32 32 28 8 — 811 —
Gallup October 15, 1988 [13] 39 29 28 4 ± 4.0 1,027 10
Environics October 10, 1988 [14] 42 25 29 5 — 1,515 —
Angus Reid October 3, 1988 [15] 45 26 27 2 ± 2.5 1,512 19
Gallup October 3, 1988 [16] 43 33 22 2 ± 4.0 1,061 10
Official call of federal elections (October 1, 1988)

During the 33rd Parliament of Canada

Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PC LPC NDP Other ME Sample
Gallup September 10, 1988 [17] 37 33 27 — ± 4.0 1,032
Gallup August 6, 1988 [18] 34 35 30 — ± 4.0 1,036
Environics July 26, 1988 [19] 34 38 26 — ± 2.5 1,503
Angus Reid July 25, 1988 [19] 35 34 28 — — —
Gallup July 11, 1988 [20] 35 37 27 1 — —
Environics June 27, 1988 [21] 31 37 30 2 — 1,992
Angus Reid June 21, 1988 [22] 33 34 31 2 ± 2.5 1,506
Gallup June 4, 1988 [20] 31 39 29 1 — —
Angus Reid May 18, 1988 [23] 31 37 30 2 — —
Gallup May 7, 1988 [20] 28 39 31 2 — —
Gallup April 9, 1988 [20] 31 38 30 1 — —
Environics March 24, 1988 [24] 29 40 30 1 — 1,983
Angus Reid March 21, 1988 [25] 34 30 34 2 ± 2.5 1,517
Gallup March 5, 1988 [20] 28 37 33 2 — —
Angus Reid February 23, 1988 [26] 32 33 33 2 ± 2.5 1,521
Gallup February 6, 1988 [27] 27 41 31 1 ± 4.0 1,022
Gallup January 9, 1988 [28] 30 36 31 2 — —
Ratification of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement (January 2, 1988)
Gallup December 5, 1987 [28] [29] 29 35 34 2 ± 4.0 1,000
Angus Reid December 4, 1987 [29] 30 37 32 — ± 2.5 1,507
Gallup November 7, 1987 [28] 25 40 33 2 — —
Gallup October 10, 1987 [28] 23 38 38 1 — —
Gallup September 5, 1987 [28] 25 36 37 2 — —
Gallup August 8, 1987 [28] 25 36 37 2 — —
Gallup July 11, 1987 [28] 23 35 41 1 — —
Angus Reid June 24, 1987 [30] 26 32 40 — ± 2.5 1,504
Environics June 10, 1987 [30] 26 36 37 — — —
Gallup June 6, 1987 [28] 24 39 35 2 — —
Signing of the Meech Lake Accord (June 2–3, 1987)
Angus Reid May 25, 1987 [31] 22 38 38 — ± 2.5 1,521
Angus Reid May 11, 1987 [32] 25 36 37 — — 1,670
Gallup May 9, 1987 [28] 26 42 30 3 — 1,014
Gallup April 11, 1987 [33] 24 42 32 3 — 1,008
Gallup March 14, 1987 [33] 24 41 34 1 — —
Angus Reid March 6, 1987 [34] 23 42 33 2 ± 2.5 1,666
Gallup February 14, 1987 [33] 22 44 32 2 — —
Gallup January 10, 1987 [33] 28 41 30 1 — —
Gallup December 6, 1986 [33] 30 45 25 1 — —
Gallup November 8, 1986 [33] 31 39 29 1 — —
Gallup October 4, 1986 [33] 31 38 29 1 — —
Gallup September 13, 1986 [35] 35 36 28 2 ± 4.0 1,000
Gallup August 16, 1986 [33] 33 41 24 2 — —
Gallup August 9, 1986 [33] 31 35 33 1 — —
Gallup July 5, 1986 [33] 36 41 21 2 — —
Angus Reid June 24, 1986 [36] 31 38 27 — — 1,673
CROP-Environics June 15, 1986 [37] [38] 36 39 24 — — 2,040
Gallup June 7, 1986 [39] 32 40 27 1 — —
Angus Reid May 13, 1986 [40] 38 36 24 — ± 2.5 1,063
Gallup May 3, 1986 [33] 32 40 27 1 — —
Gallup April 5, 1986 [33] 37 40 21 2 — —
Gallup March 15, 1986 [33] 41 34 25 1 — —
Gallup February 8, 1986 [33] 36 41 23 1 — —
Gallup December 7, 1985 [33] 37 38 24 1 — —
Gallup November 9, 1985 [35] 40 36 24 0 — —
Gallup October 5, 1985 [35] 43 35 22 1 — —
Gallup September 7, 1985 [35] 48 29 22 1 — —
Angus Reid August 27, 1985 [41] 46 29 21 4 — —
Gallup August 10, 1985 [39] [41] 46 32 20 2 — 1,037
Gallup July 13, 1985 [42] 40 33 26 1 — —
Gallup June 8, 1985 [42] 44 33 21 2 — —
Gallup May 18, 1985 [42] 45 31 22 1 — —
Gallup April 6, 1985 [43] 54 24 21 1 ± 4.0 1,037
Gallup February 23, 1985 [42] 56 26 17 1 — —
Gallup February 2, 1985 [42] 53 25 21 1 — —
Gallup January 5, 1985 [42] [44] 53 25 21 1 ± 4.0 1,054
Gallup December 8, 1984 [42] 54 24 20 2 — —
CROP November 30, 1984 [45] [46] 57 22 20 1 ± 2.0 1,971
Gallup November 3, 1984 [42] 55 23 20 2 — —
Gallup October 13, 1984 [42] 60 21 17 3 — —
Election 1984 50.03 28.02 18.81 3.14

By geographic area

In Québec

Evolution of voting intentions in Québec
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PC LPC NDP Other ME Sample
Voting results 52.7 30.3 14.4 2.6
Gallup November 19, 1988 [1] 47 32 17 4 — —
CROP November 18, 1988 [1] 45 36 17 — — —
Angus Reid November 17, 1988 [3] 50 29 21 0 — —
Angus Reid November 8, 1988 [6] 49 35 16 — — —
Environics November 8, 1988 [7] 45 33 18 4 — —
Gallup November 5, 1988 [8] 32 46 18 2 — —
Environics October 30, 1988 [10] 34 35 23 8 — —
Gallup October 15, 1988 [13] 45 30 23 2 — —
Environics October 10, 1988 [10] 47 23 25 5 — —
Angus Reid October 3, 1988 [15] 56 20 23 1 — —
Gallup October 3, 1988 [16] 44 34 20 2 — —
Official call of federal elections (October 1, 1988)
CROP September 22, 1988 [47] 42 30 27 0 — —
Gallup August 6, 1988 [18] 37 41 23 — — —
Gallup July 9, 1988 [48] 42 37 20 — — —
CROP June 22, 1988 [49] 31 45 23 1 — 1,605
Angus Reid June 21, 1988 [22] 35 36 26 3 — —
Gallup June 4, 1988 [50] 22 50 26 — — —
Sorécom May 24, 1988 [51] 31 40 27 — ± 3.0 1,102
Angus Reid May 18, 1988 [23] 28 41 30 1 — —
CROP May 18, 1988 [47] 30 44 26 1 — —
CROP April 19, 1988 [47] 26 46 28 0 — —
Sorecom April 13, 1988 [52] 31 38 31 0 — 991
Gallup April 9, 1988 [52] 20 43 36 1 — —
Environics March 24, 1988 [24] 24 46 29 — — —
CROP March 7, 1988 [53] 27 46 26 1 ± 4.0 647
Sorécom February 28, 1988 [54] 28 39 31 — — 1,191
Angus Reid February 23, 1988 [26] [55] 31 32 35 — — —
Gallup February 6, 1988 [27] 21 51 27 — — —
Gallup January 9, 1988 [27] 28 38 32 — — —
Gallup November 7, 1987 [56] 25 38 — — — —
CROP June 18, 1987 [47] 22 46 31 1 — —
Angus Reid May 25, 1987 [31] 16 30 50 — — —
Gallup April 11, 1987 [33] 17 49 34 — — —
IQOP April 10, 1987 [57] 18 41 41 — — —
Angus Reid March 4, 1987 [34] 17 40 40 — — 392
Sorécom February 27, 1987 [34] 18 45 36 — ± 2.3 1,200
Sorécom September 26, 1986 [58] 27 43 31 — — 1,824
Angus Reid June 24, 1986 [36] 20 48 27 — — —
CROP/Environics June 15, 1986 [37] 25 49 25 — — —
Sorécom May 25, 1986 [59] 28 42 30 — ± 3.0 1,995
Angus Reid May 13, 1986 [40] 30 45 22 — — —
UdeM April 22, 1986 [60] 32 50 16 2 — 2,013
Sorécom February 28, 1986 [61] 27 47 26 1 ± 2.89 1,227
IQOP January 24, 1986 [62] 23 54 21 — — —
Sorécom May 23, 1985 [61] 57 26 16 1 — —
Election 1984 50.2 35.4 8.8 5.6

In Ontario

Evolution of voting intentions in Ontario
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PC LPC NDP Other ME Sample
Voting results November 21, 1988 38.2 38.9 20.1 2.8
Environics October 10, 1988 [14] 37 27 33 3 — —
Gallup February 6, 1988 [63] 26 42 32 0 — —
Gallup January 9, 1988 [64] 28 42 30 0 — —
Elections in 1984 47.6 29.8 20.8 1.8

In Alberta

Evolution of voting intentions in Alberta
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PC LPC NDP Reform Other ME Sample
Voting results 51.8 13.7 17.4 15.4 1.7
Environics October 10, 1988 [14] 49 15 24 12 0 — —
Angus Reid June 24, 1986 [65] 51 18 27 — 4 — —
Elections in 1984 68.8 12.7 14.1 — 4.4

In British Columbia

Evolution of voting intentions in British Columbia
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PC LPC NDP Reform Other ME Sample
Voting results 35.3 20.4 37.0 4.8 2.5
Environics October 10, 1988 [14] 31 22 40 — 7 — —
Gallup October 3, 1988 [16] 39 25 29 — 7 — —
Angus Reid May 25, 1987 [66] 24 34 42 – 0 — —
Elections in 1984 46.6 16.4 35.1 – 1.9

References

  1. ^ a b c Fontaine, Mario (November 19, 1988). "Les blues font des gains". La Presse. p. 1.
  2. ^ John Deverell (November 23, 1988). "New firm scores coup with perfect poll result". Toronto Star. pp. A20.
  3. ^ a b "Tories hold 8-point lead in new poll by Reid". Toronto Star. November 19, 1988. pp. A8.
  4. ^ Alan Christie (November 14, 1988). "Liberals tie with Tories in latest Gallup poll". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  5. ^ Le soleil, 11 November 1988
  6. ^ a b Forgues, Andre (November 10, 1988). "Le PC reprend le premier rang". Le Soleil.
  7. ^ a b Michael Adams; Donna Dasko; James Matsui (January 10, 1988). "Tories and Liberals are neck-and-neck, new survey shows". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  8. ^ a b Fontaine, Mario (November 7, 1988). "Les conservateurs en chute libre". La Presse.
  9. ^ "Liberals hold 3-point lead in latest poll". Toronto Star. November 5, 1988. pp. A3.
  10. ^ a b c d e f Michael Adams; Donna Dasko; James Matsui (January 1, 1988). "Liberals move ahead of PCs in wake of leaders' debates". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  11. ^ Lavoie, Gilbert (October 31, 1988). "Gallup: PC 38%, PLC 32%, NPD 27%". La Presse. p. 1.
  12. ^ "Liberals leap into tie with Tories". Toronto Star. October 29, 1988. pp. A1.
  13. ^ a b Alan Christie (October 17, 1988). "Liberals barely holding on to second place NDP gaining at expense of Tories, poll says". Toronto Star. pp. A15.
  14. ^ a b c d Michael Adams; Donna Dasko; James Matsui (October 12, 1988). "Tories jump to wide lead in poll as NDP bumps Liberals to third". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  15. ^ a b "NDP and Liberals in virtual tie behind Tories, new poll shows". Toronto Star. October 5, 1988. pp. A31.
  16. ^ a b c "Tories top poll at 43%, trade seen as key issue". Toronto Star. October 3, 1988. pp. A1.
  17. ^ Paquin, Gilles (September 15, 1988). "Gallip donne 37% des voix au PC". La Presse. p. 1.
  18. ^ a b "Une lutte a trois se dessine". Le Soleil. August 11, 1988. p. 1.
  19. ^ a b "Un nouveau sondage Angus Reid renforce la probabilite d'elections imminentes". La Presse. July 29, 1988. p. 1.
  20. ^ a b c d e Jannard, Maurice (July 14, 1988). "Mulroney fait un bond". La Presse. p. 1.
  21. ^ Michael Adams (June 29, 1988). "Conservatives trailing Liberals in June survey: Support is up for Tories, NDP POLL". The Globe and Mail.
  22. ^ a b "Parties are neck and neck, poll finds". Toronto Star. June 24, 1988. pp. A2.
  23. ^ a b Gravel, Pierre (May 28, 1988). "Mulroney garde la faveur des Québécois". La Presse. p. 1.
  24. ^ a b Michael Adams (March 29, 1988). "Decided voters still favor Liberals; Tory support off in most regions: GLOBE-ENVIRONICS POLL". The Globe and Mail.
  25. ^ Heather Bird (March 25, 1988). "Liberals tumble into last place, poll shows". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  26. ^ a b Alan Christie (February 26, 1988). "Federal parties in dead heat, poll says Liberals 33%, NDP 33%, Conservatives 32%". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  27. ^ a b c "Gains importants pour les libéraux". Le Soleil. February 11, 1988. p. 1.
  28. ^ a b c d e f g h i Tardif, Germain (January 14, 1988). "Le Parti libéral maintient son avance, révèle Gallup". La Presse. p. 1.
  29. ^ a b Jeff Sallot (December 10, 1987). "Tories' rise in polls linked to free trade". The Globe and Mail. pp. A10.
  30. ^ a b Hugh Windsor (June 27, 1987). "NDP scrambling to exploit support indicated in polls". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
  31. ^ a b Canadian Press (May 30, 1987). "NDP ties Liberals at 38%, poll says". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
  32. ^ Hugh Windsor (May 15, 1987). "Contradiction in latest polls hinges on Quebec". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  33. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Jannard, Maurice (April 16, 1987). "Gallup: le PLC maintient son avance". La Presse. p. 1.
  34. ^ a b c Noreau, Pierre-Paul (March 7, 1987). "Le PC confirme en 3e position". Le Soleil. p. 1.
  35. ^ a b c d "Moins d'indécis; le Parti conservateur et le NPD font des gains". La Tribune. September 25, 1986. p. 2.
  36. ^ a b "Mulroney Remaine Son Cabinet". La Tribune. June 30, 1986. p. 1.
  37. ^ a b Vastel, Michel (July 29, 1986). "Chrétien augmenterait l'avance des libéraux sur les conservateurs". La Presse. p. 1.
  38. ^ La Presse canadienne (July 29, 1986). "Liberals with Chretien at helm would have big lead, poll says". The Toronto Star. pp. A2.
  39. ^ a b "Des indécis en nombre". Le Soleil. April 21, 1986. p. 2.
  40. ^ a b Canadian Press (May 19, 1986). "Tories hold slight lead in survey". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
  41. ^ a b La Presse canadienne (September 20, 1985). "Tory rise in Gallup poll is 'good stuff,' PM says". Toronto Star. pp. A10.
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  43. ^ "Cote de popularité des conservateurs plus haute qu'en septembre 84". Le soleil. May 16, 1985. p. A16.
  44. ^ Canadian Press (July 2, 1985). "Gallup gives federal Tories 53 per cent voter support". The Globe and Mail. Toronto. La Presse canadienne. p. 8.
  45. ^ "Le NPD plus qu' à 2 points des libéraux". Le soleil. January 10, 1985. p. B1.
  46. ^ Michael Adams (January 9, 1985). "Steady support found for PCs". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  47. ^ a b c d Fontaine, Mario (September 30, 1988). "Les libéraux continuent de dégringoler". La presse. p. 1.
  48. ^ "Le PC pratiquement nez a nez avec les libéraux". Le soleil. July 14, 1988. p. 1.
  49. ^ Lilianne Lacroix (July 10, 1988). "[Robert] Bourassa et [John] Turner restent les favoris; le PLQ obtient 64% des intentions de vote; 45% des Québécois auraient appuyé le PLC". La Presse. pp. A1–A2.
  50. ^ "Les libéraux restent en tête". Le soleil. June 9, 1988. p. 1.
  51. ^ "La remontée du PQ brisée par le budget Levesque". Le soleil. May 28, 1988. p. 1.
  52. ^ a b "Selon Sorécom, ie PLC est toujours en tête au Québec suivi du PC et du NPD ex aequo". La presse. April 16, 1988. p. 12.
  53. ^ "Les Québécois satisfaits de Bourassa". La presse. May 13, 1988. p. 2.
  54. ^ "Le PQ à son plus bas". Le soleil. May 4, 1988. p. 1.
  55. ^ "Le temps joue pour Mulroney". Le devoir. February 27, 1988. p. 1.
  56. ^ Val Sears (November 13, 1987). "PM's credibility questioned in wake of latest Gallup Poll". The Toronto Star. pp. A26.
  57. ^ "A Broad bent et au NPD de bien jouer". La voix de l'Est. April 16, 1987. p. 8.
  58. ^ "BOURASSA PLUS FORT QUE JAMAIS". Le soleil. October 3, 1986. p. 1.
  59. ^ "Mulroney est ouvert à l'idée de Bourassa". La presse. June 5, 1986. p. 1.
  60. ^ "59 % des Québécois sont insatisfaits des Conservateurs". Le devoir. May 16, 1986. p. 1.
  61. ^ a b "Liberaux 61%; Pequistes 33%". Le soleil. May 7, 1986. p. 1.
  62. ^ Lessard, Denis (January 31, 1986). "Baisse de popularité des tories; Les députés conservateurs du Québec s'inquiètent..." Le soleil. p. A5.
  63. ^ Martin Cohn (February 11, 1988). "Liberals up in Gallup as scandals plague PCs". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  64. ^ Martin Cohn (January 14, 1988). "Tories support up to 30% in Gallup poll of voters". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  65. ^ La Presse canadienne (June 29, 1986). "Liberals leading Tories by 7 points, poll suggests". Toronto Star. pp. A5.
  66. ^ Les Whittington (May 29, 1987). "Liberals, NDP are tied new national poll says". Toronto Star. pp. A1.