Opinion polling for the 45th Canadian federal election
| Opinion polling for Canadian federal elections |
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This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2021 Canadian federal election leading up to the 45th Canadian federal election.
National polls
Pre-campaign period
| Polling firm | Last date of polling[a] | Link | CPC | LPC | NDP | BQ | PPC | GPC | Others[b] | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | April 26, 2024 | [1] | 43.6 | 23.7 | 16.3 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.1 | ±3 pp | 1,105 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 19.9 |
| Angus Reid | April 23, 2024 | [2] | 43 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | ±2 pp | 3,015 | online | 20 |
| EKOS | April 22, 2024 | [3] | 36.9 | 25.9 | 22.8 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 0.8 | ±3.1 pp | 1,033 | IVR | 11 |
| Innovative Research | April 21, 2024 | [4] | 41 | 26 | 17 | 8 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 1,408 | online | 15 |
| Nanos Research | April 19, 2024 | [5] | 41.8 | 23.3 | 19.1 | 9.3 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | ±3.1 pp | 1,037 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 18.5 |
| Ipsos | April 18, 2024 | [6] | 43 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | online | 19 |
| Abacus Data | April 16, 2024 | [7] | 43 | 23 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2 pp | 2,300 | online | 20 |
| Nanos Research | April 12, 2024 | [8] | 40.0 | 23.7 | 20.6 | 9.1 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 0.8 | ±3 pp | 1,053 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 16.3 |
| Research Co. | April 10, 2024 | [9] | 38 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,001 | online | 12 |
| Abacus Data | April 9, 2024 | [10] | 44 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,000 | online | 20 |
| Pallas Data | April 8, 2024 | [11] | 41 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | ±2 pp | 2,375 | online | 15 |
| Nanos Research | April 5, 2024 | [12] | 38.4 | 25.9 | 18.9 | 9.7 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 | ±3 pp | 1,089 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 12.5 |
| Nanos Research | March 29, 2024 | [13] | 37.5 | 25.7 | 18.7 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 1.3 | ±3 pp | 1,075 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 11.8 |
| Leger | March 25, 2024 | [14] | 42 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.45 pp | 1,605 | online | 16 |
| Nanos Research | March 22, 2024 | [15] | 39.3 | 24.1 | 19.8 | 9.2 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | ±3 pp | 1,092 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.2 |
| Abacus Data | March 21, 2024 | [16] | 41 | 23 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | ±1.7 pp | 3,550 | online | 18 |
| Ipsos | March 18, 2024 | [17] | 41 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | online | 18 |
| Nanos Research | March 15, 2024 | [18] | 39.2 | 24.7 | 20.3 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 1.1 | ±3 pp | 1,092 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 14.5 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 9, 2024 | [19] | 45.6 | 24.9 | 15.4 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 2.4 | ±2.7 pp | 1,274 | IVR | 20.7 |
| Nanos Research | March 8, 2024 | [20] | 40.6 | 23.3 | 21.2 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 1.0 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 17.3 |
| Abacus Data | March 6, 2024 | [21] | 42 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | online | 18 |
| Angus Reid | March 4, 2024 | [22] | 40 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2 pp | 3,908 | online | 17 |
| March 4, 2024 | A federal by-election was held in Durham, with Jamil Jivani holding the seat for the Conservative Party. | ||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | March 1, 2024 | [23] | 42.8 | 23.3 | 21.4 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 0.7 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 19.5 |
| Leger | February 25, 2024 | [24] | 41 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,590 | online | 16 |
| Nanos Research | February 23, 2024 | [25] | 40.8 | 23.4 | 22.1 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 1.0 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 17.4 |
| Abacus Data | February 21, 2024 | [26] | 41 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,125 | online | 17 |
| Nanos Research | February 16, 2024 | [27] | 40.6 | 23.8 | 21.9 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 0.9 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 16.8 |
| Nanos Research | February 9, 2024 | [28] | 40.2 | 24.0 | 20.9 | 6.9 | 1.4 | 5.7 | 0.9 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 16.2 |
| Abacus Data | February 7, 2024 | [29] | 43 | 24 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | ±2.0 pp | 2,398 | online | 19 |
| Nanos Research | February 2, 2024 | [30] | 40.0 | 24.7 | 20.6 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 5.1 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.3 |
| Leger | January 28, 2024 | [31] | 40 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | ±2.47 pp | 1,579 | online | 15 |
| Mainstreet Research | January 26, 2024 | [32] | 43 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ±3.2 pp | 947 | IVR | 17 |
| Nanos Research | January 26, 2024 | [33] | 39.0 | 27.1 | 20.4 | 6.8 | 1.4 | 4.7 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 11.9 |
| Abacus Data | January 23, 2024 | [34] | 40 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | ±2.1 pp | 2,199 | online | 15 |
| Ipsos | January 22, 2024 | [35] | 36 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ±3.8 pp | 1,001 | online | 9 |
| Nanos Research | January 19, 2024 | [36] | 38.7 | 26.2 | 21.1 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 3.5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 12.5 |
| Angus Reid | January 17, 2024 | [37] | 41 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2 | ±2 pp | 1,620 | online | 17 |
| Nanos Research | January 12, 2024 | [38] | 39.4 | 27.6 | 19.6 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 3.3 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 11.8 |
| Abacus Data | January 9, 2024 | [39] | 41 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 17 |
| Nanos Research | January 5, 2024 | [40] | 38.3 | 26.4 | 20.5 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 4.2 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 11.9 |
| Nanos Research | December 29, 2023 | [41] | 40.3 | 26.6 | 18.1 | 7.3 | 1.9 | 4.8 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 13.7 |
| Spark Advocacy | December 27, 2023 | [42] | 40 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | ±2.0 pp | 2,175 | online | 14 |
| Nanos Research | December 22, 2023 | [43] | 40.6 | 27.0 | 18.2 | 6.9 | 1.4 | 5.1 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 13.6 |
| Leger | December 17, 2023 | [44] | 38 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | ±2.43 pp | 1,622 | online | 10 |
| Pallas Data | December 15, 2023 | [45] | 41 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 5 | — | ±2.9 pp | 1,177 | online | 14 |
| Nanos Research | December 15, 2023 | [46] | 40.8 | 24.9 | 20.4 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 5.6 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.9 |
| Abacus Data | December 12, 2023 | [47] | 37 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | ±2.3 pp | 1,919 | online | 10 |
| Mainstreet Research | December 9, 2023 | [48] | 42 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | ±3.3 pp | 879 | IVR | 18 |
| Nanos Research | December 8, 2023 | [49] | 39.8 | 26.1 | 20.2 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 5.5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 13.7 |
| Innovative Research | December 5, 2023 | [50] | 40 | 24 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 5 | — | — | 5,534 | online | 16 |
| Angus Reid | December 1, 2023 | [51] | 41 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2 | ±1.5 pp | 3,755 | online | 17 |
| Nanos Research | December 1, 2023 | [52] | 40.4 | 23.4 | 21.2 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 5.2 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 17.0 |
| Abacus Data | November 28, 2023 | [53] | 42 | 23 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,417 | online | 19 |
| Research Co. | November 27, 2023 | [54] | 38 | 24 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 14 |
| Pluriel Research | November 26, 2023 | [55] | 39 | 25 | 19 | 7 | — | 6 | 4 | ±2.6 pp | 1,374 | online | 14 |
| Leger | November 26, 2023 | [56] | 40 | 26 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±2.51 pp | 1,529 | online | 14 |
| Nanos Research | November 24, 2023 | [57] | 41.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 5.5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 19.0 |
| Abacus Data | November 22, 2023 | [58] | 39 | 24 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | ±1.7 pp | 3,450 | online | 15 |
| Ipsos | November 17, 2023 | [59] | 40 | 24 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | online | 16 |
| Nanos Research | November 17, 2023 | [60] | 39 | 24 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 6 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15 |
| Angus Reid | November 14, 2023 | [61] | 41 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | ±1.5 pp | 2,512 | online | 14 |
| Abacus Data | November 12, 2023 | [62] | 41 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 3 | — | ±2.3 pp | 2,000 | online | 16 |
| Nanos Research | November 10, 2023 | [63] | 40.3 | 22.4 | 20.3 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 7.2 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 17.9 |
| Mainstreet Research | November 6, 2023 | [64] | 41.0 | 25.8 | 18.2 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 1.8 | ±2.3 pp | 1,892 | IVR | 15.2 |
| Nanos Research | November 3, 2023 | [65] | 40 | 25 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 6 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15 |
| Abacus Data | November 1, 2023 | [66] | 39 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,200 | online | 13 |
| Innovative Research | October 31, 2023 | [67] | 38 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 5 | — | — | 5,974 | online | 14 |
| Leger | October 29, 2023 | [68] | 40 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,632 | online | 14 |
| Nanos Research | October 27, 2023 | [69] | 37.7 | 25.4 | 19.9 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 7.9 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 12.3 |
| Pallas Data | October 22, 2023 | [70] | 43 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 3 | — | ±2.5 pp | 1,484 | IVR | 16 |
| Nanos Research | October 20, 2023 | [71] | 39.5 | 23.6 | 19.3 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 7.5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15.9 |
| Angus Reid | October 13, 2023 | [72] | 39 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±2 pp | 1,878 | online | 11 |
| Nanos Research | October 13, 2023 | [73] | 40 | 25 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 7 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 15 |
| Mainstreet Research | October 12, 2023 | [74] | 41 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ±2.8 pp | 1,223 | IVR | 14 |
| Abacus Data | October 10, 2023 | [75] | 40 | 26 | 19 | 7 | — | 5 | — | ±2.2 pp | 1,915 | online | 14 |
| Nanos Research | October 6, 2023 | [76] | 38 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 7 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 12 |
| Abacus Data | October 5, 2023 | [77] | 39 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 4 | — | ±2.2 pp | 1,985 | online | 13 |
| Nanos Research | September 29, 2023 | [78] | 37.9 | 26.5 | 21.2 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 5.7 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 11.4 |
| Leger | September 24, 2023 | [79] | 39 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | ±2.4 pp | 1,652 | online | 12 |
| EKOS | September 24, 2023 | [80] | 42.1 | 22.9 | 17.9 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 6.9 | 0.9 | ±3.1 pp | 1,025 | IVR | 19.2 |
| Nanos Research | September 22, 2023 | [81] | 35.6 | 28.6 | 21.4 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 5.1 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7.0 |
| Ipsos | September 18, 2023 | [82] | 39 | 30 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | ±2.9 pp | 1,500 | online | 9 |
| Nanos Research | September 15, 2023 | [83] | 34.9 | 28.9 | 22.2 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 4.7 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6.0 |
| Abacus Data | September 13, 2023 | [84] | 41 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,125 | online | 15 |
| Pluriel Research | September 8, 2023 | [85] | 37.9 | 29.1 | 19.6 | 6.4 | — | 4.0 | 3.0 | ±3 pp | 1,001 | online | 8.8 |
| Nanos Research | September 8, 2023 | [86] | 34.0 | 29.0 | 21.8 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 5.2 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5.0 |
| Angus Reid | September 6, 2023 | [87] | 39 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | ±1.5 pp | 3,400 | online | 12 |
| Research Co. | September 4, 2023 | [88] | 37 | 31 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 6 |
| Abacus Data | September 4, 2023 | [89] | 40 | 26 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±1.7 pp | 3,595 | online | 14 |
| Nanos Research | September 1, 2023 | [90] | 32 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 6 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0 |
| Leger | August 27, 2023 | [91] | 38 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,597 | online | 9 |
| Nanos Research | August 25, 2023 | [92] | 33 | 30 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 6 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3 |
| Mainstreet Research | August 23, 2023 | [93] | 41 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | ±2.7 pp | 1,280 | IVR | 13 |
| Abacus Data | August 23, 2023 | [94] | 38 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4 | — | ±2.0 pp | 2,189 | online | 12 |
| Nanos Research | August 18, 2023 | [95] | 34.1 | 29.5 | 19.8 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 6.8 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 4.6 |
| Pallas Data | August 17, 2023 | [96] | 39.1 | 29.6 | 16.6 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 1.2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,021 | IVR | 9.5 |
| Angus Reid | August 11, 2023 | [97] | 38 | 31 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | ±2 pp | 1,606 | online | 7 |
| Nanos Research | August 11, 2023 | [98] | 35 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 7 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6 |
| Abacus Data | August 7, 2023 | [99] | 37 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 1,650 | online | 9 |
| Nanos Research | August 4, 2023 | [100] | 37 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 6 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 10 |
| Nanos Research | July 28, 2023 | [101] | 36 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7 |
| Abacus Data | July 25, 2023 | [102] | 38 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,486 | online | 10 |
| July 24, 2023 | A federal by-election was held in Calgary Heritage, with Shuvaloy Majumdar holding the seat for the Conservative Party. | ||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | July 21, 2023 | [103] | 35.4 | 28.6 | 19.6 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 5.9 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6.8 |
| Nanos Research | July 14, 2023 | [104] | 35 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 7 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6 |
| Leger | July 10, 2023 | [105] | 37 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | ±2.5 pp | 1,512 | online | 9 |
| Mainstreet Research | July 8, 2023 | [106] | 37 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | ±2.8 pp | 1,200 | IVR | 7 |
| Nanos Research | July 7, 2023 | [107] | 37 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 6 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7 |
| Nanos Research | June 30, 2023 | [108] | 35.8 | 29.6 | 18.9 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 6.1 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6.2 |
| Abacus Data | June 27, 2023 | [109] | 34 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 1,500 | online | 5 |
| Pollara | June 23, 2023 | [110] | 32 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±1.2 pp | 7,001 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | June 23, 2023 | [111] | 35 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 6 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6 |
| Ipsos | June 20, 2023 | [112] | 37 | 32 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | online | 5 |
| June 19, 2023 | A federal by-election was held in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount, with Anna Gainey holding the seat for the Liberal Party. | ||||||||||||
| June 19, 2023 | A federal by-election was held in Oxford, with Arpan Khanna holding the seat for the Conservative Party. | ||||||||||||
| June 19, 2023 | A federal by-election was held in Portage—Lisgar, with Branden Leslie holding the seat for the Conservative Party. | ||||||||||||
| June 19, 2023 | A federal by-election was held in Winnipeg South Centre, with Ben Carr holding the seat for the Liberal Party. | ||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | June 16, 2023 | [113] | 35 | 30 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5 |
| Abacus Data | June 11, 2023 | [114] | 35 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,000 | online | 7 |
| Nanos Research | June 9, 2023 | [115] | 32 | 30 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 2 |
| Mainstreet Research | June 8, 2023 | [116] | 35 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | ±3 pp | 1,045 | IVR | 6 |
| Angus Reid | June 3, 2023 | [117] | 37 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | ±1 pp | 3,885 | online | 8 |
| Nanos Research | June 2, 2023 | [108] | 32.4 | 29.3 | 23.8 | 6.8 | 2.7 | 3.8 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3.1 |
| Leger | May 29, 2023 | [118] | 31 | 33 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | ±2.51 pp | 1,531 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | May 26, 2023 | [119] | 33 | 28 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5 |
| Nanos Research | May 19, 2023 | [120] | 34 | 27 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7 |
| Abacus Data | May 12, 2023 | [121] | 33 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,500 | online | 3 |
| Nanos Research | May 12, 2023 | [122] | 36 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 4 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 9 |
| Leger | May 8, 2023 | [123] | 33 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | ±2.51 pp | 1,523 | online | 1 |
| Mainstreet Research | May 6, 2023 | [124] | 36 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ±2.7 pp | 1,272 | IVR | 6 |
| Nanos Research | May 5, 2023 | [125] | 35.2 | 27.7 | 21.7 | 7.1 | 3.4 | 4.3 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7.5 |
| Abacus Data | May 3, 2023 | [126] | 33 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,750 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | April 28, 2023 | [127] | 35 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5 |
| Leger | April 23, 2023 | [128] | 36 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | 1,515 | online | 6 |
| Nanos Research | April 21, 2023 | [129] | 34 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 4 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3 |
| Nanos Research | April 14, 2023 | [130] | 34 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3 |
| Leger | April 10, 2023 | [131] | 34 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ±2.52 pp | 1,517 | online | 4 |
| Nanos Research | April 7, 2023 | [132] | 35.8 | 30.6 | 18.1 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 5.3 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5.2 |
| Nanos Research | March 31, 2023 | [133] | 36 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 8 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 30, 2023 | [134] | 35.9 | 28.9 | 18.1 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 2.1 | ±2.8 pp | 1,267 | IVR | 7.0 |
| Nanos Research | March 24, 2023 | [135] | 34.8 | 28.9 | 19.0 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 5.3 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5.9 |
| Abacus Data | March 21, 2023 | [136] | 33 | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ±2.3 pp | 1,963 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | March 17, 2023 | [137] | 34 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7 |
| Angus Reid | March 13, 2023 | [138] | 35 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±1 pp | 4,899 | online | 6 |
| EKOS | March 13, 2023 | [139] | 31.4 | 28.2 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 1.1 | ±1.6 pp | 3,115 | telephone/online | 3.2 |
| Leger | March 12, 2023 | [140] | 32 | 33 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,544 | online | 1 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 10, 2023 | [141] | 36.9 | 30.8 | 15.2 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 2.7 | ±2.8 pp | 1,255 | IVR | 6.1 |
| Abacus Data | March 10, 2023 | [142] | 34 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 5 |
| Nanos Research | March 10, 2023 | [143] | 32.8 | 28.4 | 20.6 | 8.9 | 3.5 | 5.0 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 4.4 |
| Abacus Data | March 4, 2023 | [144] | 36 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ±2.0 pp | 2,600 | online | 7 |
| Nanos Research | March 3, 2023 | [145] | 34 | 30 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (3/4) | telephone (rolling) | 4 |
| Research Co. | February 27, 2023 | [146] | 33 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 1 |
| Abacus Data | February 18, 2023 | [147] | 37 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±1.6 pp | 4,000 | online | 8 |
| Ipsos | February 17, 2023 | [148] | 33 | 33 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,350 | online | 0 |
| Leger | February 12, 2023 | [149] | 35 | 32 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±2.50 pp | 1,539 | online | 3 |
| Nanos Research | February 10, 2023 | [150] | 32.9 | 33.1 | 20.5 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 4.1 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 0.2 |
| Pollara | February 6, 2023 | [151] | 32 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ±1.8 pp | 3,850 | online | 0 |
| Abacus Data | January 30, 2023 | [152] | 37 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 8 |
| Mainstreet Research | January 27, 2023 | [153] | 36.9 | 33.1 | 13.6 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 2.8 | ±2.8 pp | 1,261 | IVR | 3.8 |
| Nanos Research | January 27, 2023 | [154] | 34 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3 |
| Leger | January 22, 2023 | [155] | 34 | 34 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,554 | online | 0 |
| Nanos Research | January 20, 2023 | [156] | 35 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 6 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5 |
| Abacus Data | January 16, 2023 | [157] | 35 | 31 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 2,099 | online | 4 |
| Nanos Research | January 13, 2023 | [158] | 35.6 | 28.3 | 20.7 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 5.8 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 7.3 |
| Pollara | January 12, 2023 | [151] | 32 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | — | — | 3,020 | online | 1 |
| Nanos Research | January 6, 2023 | [159] | 34 | 29 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 6 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5 |
| Nanos Research | December 30, 2022 | [160] | 34 | 29 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 6 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 5 |
| Nanos Research | December 23, 2022 | [161] | 35 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6 |
| Pollara | December 20, 2022 | [151] | 33 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 5 | — | — | 4,020 | online | 3 |
| Nanos Research | December 16, 2022 | [162] | 35 | 29 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 5 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6 |
| Mainstreet Research | December 15, 2022 | [163] | 36.0 | 31.3 | 18.6 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 1.5 | ±2.6 pp | 1,416 | IVR | 4.7 |
| December 12, 2022 | A federal by-election was held in Mississauga—Lakeshore, with Charles Sousa holding the seat for the Liberal Party. | ||||||||||||
| Leger | December 11, 2022 | [164] | 33 | 30 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ±2.50 pp | 1,526 | online | 3 |
| Abacus Data | December 10, 2022 | [165] | 36 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | 2,500 | online | 6 |
| Nanos Research | December 9, 2022 | [166] | 33.6 | 30.3 | 20.9 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 5.0 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3.3 |
| Mainstreet Research | December 8, 2022 | [167] | 37.9 | 33.6 | 16.4 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 1.0 | ±2.8 pp | 1,267 | IVR | 4.3 |
| Nanos Research | December 2, 2022 | [168] | 33 | 31 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 2 |
| Nanos Research | November 25, 2022 | [169] | 30.3 | 31.0 | 22.5 | 7.1 | 3.4 | 4.8 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 0.7 |
| EKOS | November 23, 2022 | [170] | 33.6 | 31.3 | 18.1 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 6.6 | 1.9 | ±3.1 pp | 1,034 | IVR | 2.3 |
| November 19, 2022 | Elizabeth May returns as leader of the Green Party | ||||||||||||
| Innovative Research | November 14, 2022 | [171] | 33 | 32 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | 2,236 | online | 1 |
| Leger | November 13, 2022 | [172] | 34 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | ±2.50 pp | 1,537 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | November 11, 2022 | [166] | 31.3 | 32.9 | 20.0 | 8.1 | 1.7 | 5.1 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 1.6 |
| Mainstreet Research | November 7, 2022 | [173] | 37.6 | 30.3 | 19.3 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 1.4 | ±2.7 pp | 1,276 | IVR | 7.3 |
| Pollara | November 3, 2022 | [151] | 33 | 31 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 3,418 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | October 28, 2022 | [169] | 34.4 | 32.1 | 16.9 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 4.3 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 2.3 |
| Research Co. | October 26, 2022 | [174] | 35 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 4 |
| Abacus Data | October 26, 2022 | [175] | 34 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 1,500 | online | 3 |
| Nanos Research | October 21, 2022 | [176] | 36 | 30 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6 |
| Nanos Research | October 14, 2022 | [177] | 35 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 1 |
| Leger | October 10, 2022 | [178] | 33 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±2.50 pp | 1,534 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | October 7, 2022 | [179] | 33 | 32 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 1 |
| Nanos Research | September 30, 2022 | [180] | 33 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 4 |
| Mainstreet Research | September 22, 2022 | [181] | 40.8 | 32.7 | 12.4 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | ±3.0 pp | 1,088 | IVR | 8.1 |
| Angus Reid | September 22, 2022 | [182] | 37 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±2 pp | 5,014 | online | 7 |
| Ipsos | September 21, 2022 | [183] | 35 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | online | 5 |
| Leger | September 18, 2022 | [184] | 34 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ±2.51 pp | 1,522 | online | 6 |
| EKOS | September 16, 2022 | [185] | 33.7 | 31.7 | 20.1 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 0.5 | ±3.1 pp | 1,005 | IVR | 2.0 |
| Nanos Research | September 16, 2022 | [186] | 30.7 | 28.4 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 4.8 | — | ±3.00 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 2.3 |
| Abacus Data | September 14, 2022 | [187] | 35 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 1,990 | online | 5 |
| September 10, 2022 | Pierre Poilievre is elected leader of the Conservative Party | ||||||||||||
| Abacus Data | August 30, 2022 | [188] | 33 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 1 |
| Nanos Research | August 19, 2022 | [186] | 32.5 | 33.3 | 20.1 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 5.6 | — | ±3.00 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 0.8 |
| Leger | August 7, 2022 | [189] | 28 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ±2.52 pp | 1,509 | online | 5 |
| Nanos Research | August 5, 2022 | [190] | 32.6 | 29.0 | 22.7 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 6.8 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 3.6 |
| Abacus Data | July 27, 2022 | [191] | 35 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,400 | online | 5 |
| Mainstreet Research | July 18, 2022 | [192] | 38.3 | 27.6 | 18.1 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 2.3 | ±2.3 pp | 1,749 | IVR | 10.7 |
| Abacus Data | July 17, 2022 | [193] | 33 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 2 |
| Leger | July 10, 2022 | [194] | 28 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | ±2.49 pp | 1,538 | online | 4 |
| Nanos Research | July 8, 2022 | [190] | 34.1 | 30.6 | 20.8 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 5.4 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (3/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3.5 |
| Abacus Data | June 23, 2022 | [195] | 34 | 30 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ±1.8 pp | 3,026 | online | 4 |
| Ipsos | June 20, 2022 | [196] | 33 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 2,002 | online | 1 |
| Nanos Research | June 17, 2022 | [197] | 35.5 | 30.5 | 19.2 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 5.1 | — | ±2.9 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 5.0 |
| Mainstreet Research | June 16, 2022 | [198] | 25.8 | 34.0 | 22.8 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 2.0 | ±2.8 pp | 1,200 | online | 8.2 |
| Leger | June 12, 2022 | [199] | 32 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ±2.5 pp | 1,528 | online | 2 |
| Abacus Data | May 24, 2022 | [200] | 31 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 0 |
| Nanos Research | May 20, 2022 | [197] | 32.5 | 34.4 | 19.6 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 4.1 | — | ±2.9 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 1.9 |
| EKOS | May 17, 2022 | [201] | 35.4 | 29.2 | 19.9 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3 | ±2.8 pp | 1,244 | IVR | 6.2 |
| EKOS | May 9, 2022 | [202] | 31.4 | 31.8 | 20.3 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 2 | ±2.1 pp | 2,140 | IVR | 0.4 |
| Abacus Data | May 6, 2022 | [203] | 33 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 2 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 29, 2022 | [204] | 38.4 | 32.2 | 16.9 | 6.7 | — | 2.8 | 3.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,327 | IVR | 6.2 |
| Nanos Research | April 22, 2022 | [205] | 35.6 | 30.0 | 19.6 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 5.5 | — | ±2.9 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 5.6 |
| Leger | April 10, 2022 | [206] | 29 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ±2.5 pp | 1,538 | online | 2 |
| Abacus Data | April 9, 2022 | [207] | 31 | 33 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,000 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | April 8, 2022 | [208] | 33 | 33 | 18 | — | — | — | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0 |
| Nanos Research | April 1, 2022 | [208] | 31 | 33 | 21 | — | — | — | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 2 |
| Abacus Data | March 25, 2022 | [209] | 33 | 31 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | March 25, 2022 | [205] | 31.3 | 32.2 | 21.6 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 4.8 | — | ±2.9 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 0.9 |
| March 22, 2022 | The Liberals and NDP enter into a confidence-and-supply agreement. | ||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | March 11, 2022 | [210] | 29.3 | 32.1 | 22.2 | 6.4 | 5.0 | 4.9 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 2.8 |
| Leger | March 6, 2022 | [211] | 28 | 33 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,591 | online | 5 |
| Nanos Research | February 25, 2022 | [212] | 32.2 | 30.3 | 17.7 | — | 5.4 | 6.8 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 1.9 |
| Abacus Data | February 22, 2022 | [213] | 31 | 31 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±1.4 pp | 5,200 | online | 0 |
| Ipsos | February 21, 2022 | [214] | 32 | 32 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ±3.5 pp | 1,001 | online | 0 |
| Mainstreet Research | February 17, 2022 | [215] | 38.7 | 30.6 | 14.6 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | ±2.7 pp | 1,323 | IVR | 8.1 |
| Nanos Research | February 11, 2022 | [216] | 31.1 | 30.6 | 16.9 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 6.4 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 0.5 |
| Abacus Data | February 8, 2022 | [217] | 30 | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 3 |
| Leger | February 6, 2022 | [218] | 29 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | ±2.49 pp | 1,546 | online | 4 |
| February 2, 2022 | Erin O'Toole is removed as leader of the Conservative Party. Candice Bergen is named interim leader. | ||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | January 28, 2022 | [219] | 30.4 | 29.9 | 20.7 | — | 6.7 | 5.8 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0.5 |
| Mainstreet Research | January 23, 2022 | [220] | 29.3 | 29.4 | 16.7 | 5.8 | 12.7 | 3.2 | 2.8 | ±2.3 pp | 1,813 | IVR | 0.1 |
| Leger | January 23, 2022 | [221] | 31 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | ±2.51 pp | 1,525 | online | 3 |
| Nanos Research | January 21, 2022 | [222] | 29.4 | 28.4 | 22.3 | 5.6 | — | 7.0 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 1.0 |
| EKOS | January 17, 2022 | [223] | 29.7 | 30.3 | 19.5 | 5.9 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 1 | ±1.9 pp | 2,612 | IVR | 0.6 |
| Nanos Research | January 14, 2022 | [224] | 28.5 | 28.2 | 24.3 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 6.3 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0.3 |
| Angus Reid | January 12, 2022 | [225] | 29 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | ±2.0 pp | 5,002 | online | 5 |
| Abacus Data | January 12, 2022 | [226] | 30 | 32 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ±2.089 pp | 2,200 | online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | January 7, 2022 | [227] | 29.0 | 30.6 | 21.4 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 6.1 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 1.6 |
| Discover by Navigator | January 5, 2022 | [228] | 29 | 32 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 4 | — | — | 2,513 | online | 3 |
| EKOS | December 21, 2021 | [229] | 25 | 32 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,015 | IVR | 7 |
| Nanos Research | December 10, 2021 | [227] | 30.4 | 33.3 | 19.8 | 6.2 | 6.7 | 7.0 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 2.9 |
| Leger | December 5, 2021 | [230] | 29 | 36 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,547 | online | 7 |
| Mainstreet Research | November 30, 2021 | [231] | 30.3 | 33.5 | 15.7 | 5.5 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 1.9 | ±2.36 pp | 1,719 | IVR | 3.2 |
| Abacus Data | November 30, 2021 | [232] | 30 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 2,025 | online | 2 |
| Angus Reid | November 29, 2021 | [233] | 29 | 35 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ±2 pp | 2,005 | online | 6 |
| November 27, 2021 | Amita Kuttner is named interim leader of the Green Party | ||||||||||||
| EKOS | November 21, 2021 | [234] | 26.6 | 30.4 | 19.1 | 5.9 | 11.4 | 5.2 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,006 | IVR | 3.8 |
| Leger | November 7, 2021 | [235] | 26 | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | ±2.48 pp | 1,565 | online | 9 |
| Nanos Research | October 29, 2021 | [236] | 30.1 | 30.8 | 21.6 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 3.1 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0.7 |
| Mainstreet Research | October 24, 2021 | [237] | 33.3 | 33.8 | 15.4 | 5.5 | — | 3.0 | 8.9 | ±2.4 pp | 1,711 | IVR | 0.5 |
| Nanos Research | October 22, 2021 | [238] | 30.8 | 29.9 | 23.1 | 7.3 | 5.3 | 2.7 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 0.9 |
| Abacus Data | October 20, 2021 | [239] | 30 | 33 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±1.9 pp | 2,220 | online | 3 |
| September 27, 2021 | Annamie Paul announces her intention to resign as the leader of the Green Party | ||||||||||||
| 2021 election | September 20, 2021 | HTML | 33.7 | 32.6 | 17.8 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | — | 17,042,591 | — | 1.1 |
| Polling firm | Last date of polling[a] | Link | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead | ||||||
| CPC | LPC | NDP | BQ | PPC | GPC | ||||||||
Voting intention with LPC-NDP merger/alliance
Under Justin Trudeau leadership
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC-NDP | CPC | BQ | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co | October 8, 2023 | [240] | 36 | 42 | 8 | 8 | 2 | — | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 6 |
| Leger | April 23, 2023 | [241] | 41 | 39 | 8 | 6 | 3 | — | ± 3.1 pp | 1,515 | online | 2 |
Under Jagmeet Singh leadership
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC-NDP | CPC | BQ | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co | October 8, 2023 | [240] | 36 | 43 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 7 |
Regional polls
A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level. Note that this section displays results from stand-alone polls, not subsets of national polls.
British Columbia
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research | April 24, 2024 | [242] | 17.8 | 55.8 | 15.8 | 6.9 | — | 3.7 | ± 3.2 pp | 962 | Smart IVR | 38 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 19, 2024 | [243] | 22.8 | 49.6 | 19.4 | 5.8 | — | 2.4 | ± 3 pp | 1,063 | Smart IVR | 26.8 |
| Angus Reid | March 6, 2024 | [244] | 21 | 40 | 29 | 9 | — | 2 | ± 3 pp | 809 | online | 11 |
Alberta
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leger | March 24, 2024 | [245] | 14 | 60 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,002 | Online | 40 |
| Mainstreet Research | May 2, 2023 | [246] | 18 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ± 2.5 pp | 1,524 | Smart IVR | 37 |
| Yorkville Strategies | March 9, 2022 | [247] | 18 | 48 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 3 | ± 4 pp | 600 | Phone | 28 |
Manitoba
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probe Research | March 18, 2024 | [248] | 23 | 47 | 26 | 2 | — | 1 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR + online | 21 |
City of Winnipeg
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probe Research | March 18, 2024 | [248] | 28 | 38 | 31 | 2 | — | 1 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR + online | 7 |
Rural/Northern Manitoba
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probe Research | March 18, 2024 | [248] | 16 | 61 | 19 | 2 | — | 2 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR + online | 42 |
Ontario
City of Toronto
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angus Reid | April 23, 2024 | [249] | 32 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | ± 2 pp | 158 | online | 6 |
| Abacus Data | March 6, 2024 | [250] | 33 | 41 | 18 | — | — | — | — | 958 | online | 8 |
| Liason Strategies | January 4, 2024 | [251] | 38 | 32 | 22 | 5 | 3 | — | ± 3.39 pp | 831 | IVR | 6 |
| Liason Strategies | October 4, 2023 | [252] | 40 | 29 | 24 | 4 | 3 | — | ± 3.43 pp | 817 | IVR | 11 |
| Abacus Data | February 7, 2023 | [253] | 44 | 27 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 1 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 17 |
Peel region
City of Mississauga
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research | February 4, 2024 | [254] | 39.2 | 42.8 | 14.0 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.1 | ± 2.8 pp | 1183 | IVR | 3.6 |
| Liason Strategies | January 11, 2024 | [255] | 41 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 5 | — | ± 3.06 pp | 983 | IVR | 5 |
City of Brampton
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research | February 4, 2024 | [254] | 37.4 | 41.3 | 15.2 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | ± 2.8 pp | 1183 | IVR | 3.9 |
Town of Caledon
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research | February 4, 2024 | [254] | 17.9 | 49.5 | 25.4 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 0 | ± 2.8 pp | 1183 | IVR | 24.1 |
Quebec
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | BQ | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leger | April 21, 2024 | [256] | 26 | 24 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.05 pp | 1,026 | Online | 9 |
| Pallas Data | April 8, 2024 | [257] | 25.3 | 26.2 | 9.9 | 28.6 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | ± 2 pp | 700 | IVR | 2.4 |
| Leger | March 18, 2024 | [258] | 27 | 23 | 14 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.05 pp | 1,033 | Online | 3 |
| Leger | February 6, 2024 | [259] | 28 | 24 | 14 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.05 pp | 1032 | Online | 1 |
| Leger | December 4, 2023 | [260] | 28 | 25 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ± 3.04 pp | 846 | Online | 3 |
| Pallas Data | September 27, 2023 | [261] | 34 | 25 | 7 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 2.96 pp | 1,095 | IVR | 6 |
| Leger | September 25, 2023 | [262] | 29 | 23 | 13 | 29 | 2 | 1 | — | ± 3.0 pp | 1,046 | Online | 0 |
| Leger | February 26, 2023 | [263] | 33 | 15 | 13 | 31 | 4 | 2 | — | ± 3.0 pp | 1,044 | Online | 2 |
| Leger | November 6, 2022 | [264] | 34 | 18 | 12 | 30 | 2 | 2 | — | ± 3.1 pp | 1,028 | Online | 4 |
Newfoundland and Labrador
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abacus Data | September 25, 2023 | [265] | 33 | 42 | 23 | — | 1 | 1 | ± 4.5 pp | 500 | Online | 9 |
Leadership polls
Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister:
November 2022 – present
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Justin Trudeau | Pierre Poilievre | Jagmeet Singh | Yves-François Blanchet | Elizabeth May | Maxime Bernier | Unsure | Margin of error[c] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | April 26, 2024 | [1] | 19.0 | 37.1 | 12.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 20.4 | ±3 pp | 18.1 |
| Angus Reid | April 23, 2024 | [266] | 16 | 35 | 13 | — | — | — | 10 | ±2 pp | 19 |
| Nanos Research | April 19, 2024 | [5] | 18.4 | 34.9 | 14.1 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 22.4 | ±3.1 pp | 16.5 |
| Ipsos | April 18, 2024 | [267] | 23 | 48 | 22 | — | — | — | — | ±3.8 pp | 25 |
| Nanos Research | April 12, 2024 | [8] | 19.8 | 33.9 | 16.8 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 18.8 | ±3 pp | 14.1 |
| Research Co. | April 10, 2024 | [9] | 26 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | ±3.1 pp | 6 |
| Nanos Research | April 5, 2024 | [12] | 21.1 | 32.0 | 17.0 | 5.9 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 16.5 | ±3 pp | 10.9 |
| Nanos Research | March 29, 2024 | [13] | 21.5 | 33.4 | 14.8 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 17.1 | ±3 pp | 11.9 |
| Leger | March 25, 2024 | [14] | 17 | 29 | 17 | — | 3 | 1 | 15 | ±2.45 pp | 12 |
| Nanos Research | March 22, 2024 | [15] | 19.7 | 33.7 | 16.9 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 18.2 | ±3 pp | 14.0 |
| Nanos Research | March 15, 2024 | [18] | 19.9 | 33.5 | 16.2 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 19.4 | ±3 pp | 13.6 |
| Nanos Research | March 8, 2024 | [20] | 18.8 | 34.9 | 17.2 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 18.6 | ±3.1 pp | 16.1 |
| Angus Reid | March 4, 2024 | [22] | 17 | 31 | 15 | — | — | — | 10 | ±2 pp | 14 |
| Nanos Research | March 1, 2024 | [23] | 19.2 | 36.9 | 17.0 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 18.7 | ±3.1 pp | 17.7 |
| Leger | February 25, 2024 | [24] | 17 | 27 | 16 | — | 4 | 2 | 14 | ±2.49 pp | 10 |
| Nanos Research | February 23, 2024 | [25] | 18.6 | 36.3 | 16.9 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 19.0 | ±3.1 pp | 17.7 |
| Abacus Data | February 21, 2024 | [26] | 45 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | ±2.1 pp | 10 |
| Nanos Research | February 16, 2024 | [27] | 20.3 | 35.8 | 15.0 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 19.3 | ±3.1 pp | 15.5 |
| Nanos Research | February 9, 2024 | [28] | 20.8 | 36.2 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 18.6 | ±3.1 pp | 15.4 |
| Nanos Research | February 2, 2024 | [30] | 20.8 | 35.1 | 13.8 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 19.3 | ±3.1 pp | 14.3 |
| Leger | January 26, 2024 | [31] | 18 | 27 | 16 | — | 3 | 2 | 16 | ±2.47 pp | 9 |
| Nanos Research | January 26, 2024 | [33] | 22.8 | 33.4 | 14.3 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 19.8 | ±3.1 pp | 10.6 |
| Abacus Data | January 23, 2024 | [34] | 46 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | ±2.1 pp | 8 |
| Ipsos | January 22, 2024 | [268] | 30 | 40 | 24 | 6 | — | — | — | ±3.8 pp | 10 |
| Nanos Research | January 19, 2024 | [36] | 22.4 | 32.3 | 15.7 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 19.8 | ±3.1 pp | 9.9 |
| Nanos Research | January 12, 2024 | [38] | 22.0 | 31.4 | 15.6 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 21.3 | ±3.1 pp | 9.4 |
| Nanos Research | January 5, 2024 | [40] | 21.2 | 31.4 | 16.3 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 21.6 | ±3.1 pp | 10.2 |
| Nanos Research | December 29, 2023 | [41] | 21.4 | 33.0 | 15.2 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 21.2 | ±3.1 pp | 11.6 |
| Nanos Research | December 22, 2023 | [43] | 20.6 | 34.3 | 15.4 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 20.9 | ±3.1 pp | 13.7 |
| Leger | December 17, 2023 | [44] | 20 | 25 | 16 | — | 3 | 1 | 15 | ±2.43 pp | 5 |
| Nanos Research | December 15, 2023 | [46] | 20.8 | 33.4 | 17.4 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 19.2 | ±3.1 pp | 12.6 |
| Nanos Research | December 8, 2023 | [49] | 20.9 | 32.8 | 16.2 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 20.5 | ±3.1 pp | 11.9 |
| Innovative Research | December 5, 2023 | [50] | 23 | 41 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 4 | — | — | 18 |
| Angus Reid | December 1, 2023 | [269] | 16 | 34 | 13 | — | — | — | 10 | ±1.5 pp | 18 |
| Nanos Research | December 1, 2023 | [52] | 19.1 | 33.4 | 16.8 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 20.1 | ±3.1 pp | 14.3 |
| Research Co. | November 27, 2023 | [54] | 23 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | ±3.1 pp | 9 |
| Leger | November 26, 2023 | [56] | 19 | 25 | 17 | — | 3 | 2 | 16 | ±2.51 pp | 6 |
| Nanos Research | November 24, 2023 | [57] | 19.0 | 34.1 | 16.2 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 19.7 | ±3.1 pp | 15.1 |
| Nanos Research | November 17, 2023 | [270] | 19.2 | 33.1 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 21.2 | ±3.1 pp | 13.9 |
| Leger | November 12, 2023 | [271] | 17 | 27 | 16 | — | 2 | 2 | 18 | ±2.44 pp | 10 |
| Nanos Research | November 10, 2023 | [272] | 21.2 | 33.7 | 16.1 | 3.8 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 18.0 | ±3.1 pp | 12.6 |
| Nanos Research | November 3, 2023 | [273] | 22.7 | 34.1 | 16.0 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 17.2 | ±3.1 pp | 11.4 |
| Innovative Research | October 31, 2023 | [67] | 24 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 5 | — | — | 15 |
| Leger | October 29, 2023 | [68] | 18 | 29 | 15 | — | 4 | 2 | 17 | ±2.4 pp | 11 |
| Nanos Research | October 27, 2023 | [69] | 23.3 | 31.5 | 17.8 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 17.2 | ±3.1 pp | 8.2 |
| Nanos Research | October 20, 2023 | [274] | 23.0 | 32.6 | 16.8 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 17.4 | ±3.1 pp | 9.6 |
| Angus Reid | October 13, 2023 | [72] | 16 | 30 | 15 | — | — | — | 11 | ±2 pp | 14 |
| Nanos Research | October 13, 2023 | [275] | 23.3 | 32.9 | 15.2 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 18.3 | ±3.1 pp | 9.6 |
| Nanos Research | October 6, 2023 | [276] | 23.5 | 32.1 | 15.0 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 19.0 | ±3.1 pp | 8.6 |
| Nanos Research | September 29, 2023 | [78] | 23.0 | 32.1 | 15.6 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 19.4 | ±3.1 pp | 9.1 |
| Leger | September 24, 2023 | [79] | 20 | 26 | 14 | — | 2 | 2 | 17 | ±2.4 pp | 6 |
| Nanos Research | September 22, 2023 | [81] | 23.9 | 31.3 | 16.5 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 18.6 | ±3.1 pp | 7.4 |
| Ipsos | September 18, 2023 | [277] | 31 | 40 | 22 | 6 | — | — | — | ±2.9 pp | 9 |
| Nanos Research | September 15, 2023 | [83] | 24.6 | 30.7 | 16.7 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 18.7 | ±3.1 pp | 6.1 |
| Nanos Research | September 8, 2023 | [86] | 25.4 | 28.9 | 16.9 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 18.4 | ±3.1 pp | 3.5 |
| Angus Reid | September 6, 2023 | [87] | 17 | 32 | 15 | — | — | — | 11 | ±1.5 pp | 15 |
| Research Co. | September 4, 2023 | [88] | 28 | 28 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | ±3.1 pp | 0 |
| Nanos Research | September 1, 2023 | [278] | 27.7 | 27.2 | 15.9 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 18.6 | ±3.1 pp | 0.5 |
| Nanos Research | August 25, 2023 | [279] | 27.5 | 27.5 | 16.1 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 17.6 | ±3.1 pp | 0 |
| Nanos Research | August 18, 2023 | [95] | 28.2 | 27.5 | 16.9 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 15.9 | ±3.1 pp | 0.7 |
| Nanos Research | August 11, 2023 | [280] | 28.0 | 27.8 | 16.3 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 17.3 | ±3.1 pp | 0.2 |
| Nanos Research | August 4, 2023 | [281] | 27.9 | 28.6 | 16.0 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 17.3 | ±3.1 pp | 0.7 |
| Nanos Research | July 28, 2023 | [282] | 25.9 | 28.4 | 15.3 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 19.5 | ±3.1 pp | 2.5 |
| Nanos Research | July 21, 2023 | [283] | 25.8 | 26.7 | 16.5 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 19.5 | ±3.1 pp | 0.9 |
| Nanos Research | July 14, 2023 | [284] | 26.3 | 28.2 | 16.9 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 18.3 | ±3.1 pp | 1.9 |
| Nanos Research | July 7, 2023 | [285] | 25.8 | 29.1 | 17.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 18.0 | ±3.1 pp | 3.3 |
| Nanos Research | June 30, 2023 | [286] | 27.2 | 28.4 | 17.8 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 17.3 | ±3.1 pp | 1.2 |
| Nanos Research | June 23, 2023 | [287] | 27.3 | 28.0 | 16.6 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 18.0 | ±3.1 pp | 0.7 |
| Nanos Research | June 16, 2023 | [288] | 27.1 | 27.5 | 17.9 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 18.5 | ±3.1 pp | 0.4 |
| Nanos Research | June 9, 2023 | [289] | 27.6 | 25.8 | 18.5 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 18.7 | ±3.1 pp | 1.8 |
| Nanos Research | June 2, 2023 | [290] | 26.8 | 26.6 | 19.1 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 18.9 | ±3.1 pp | 0.2 |
| Nanos Research | May 26, 2023 | [291] | 25.9 | 26.6 | 20.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 19.0 | ±3.1 pp | 0.7 |
| Nanos Research | May 19, 2023 | [292] | 25.9 | 27.3 | 19.1 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 18.4 | ±3.1 pp | 1.4 |
| Nanos Research | May 12, 2023 | [293] | 24.3 | 28.6 | 18.7 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 18.3 | ±3.1 pp | 4.3 |
| Leger | May 8, 2023 | [294] | 24 | 19 | 16 | — | 3 | 2 | — | ±2.51 pp | 5 |
| Nanos Research | May 5, 2023 | [125] | 23.9 | 28.3 | 18.8 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 18.3 | ±3.1 pp | 4.4 |
| Nanos Research | April 28, 2023 | [295] | 25.6 | 28.1 | 18.1 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 18.1 | ±3.1 pp | 2.5 |
| Nanos Research | April 21, 2023 | [296] | 25.3 | 27.5 | 18.4 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 19.1 | ±3.1 pp | 2.2 |
| Nanos Research | April 14, 2023 | [297] | 25.9 | 26.9 | 18.1 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 19.8 | ±3.1 pp | 1.0 |
| Leger | April 11, 2023 | [298] | 23 | 21 | 17 | — | 3 | 3 | — | ±2.52 pp | 2 |
| Nanos Research | April 7, 2023 | [299] | 26.2 | 28.4 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 18.9 | ±3.1 pp | 2.2 |
| Nanos Research | March 31, 2023 | [300] | 25.3 | 29.4 | 15.5 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 18.6 | ±3.1 pp | 4.1 |
| Nanos Research | March 24, 2023 | [301] | 25.9 | 28.7 | 16.1 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 17.2 | ±3.1 pp | 2.8 |
| Nanos Research | March 17, 2023 | [302] | 25.6 | 29.6 | 15.1 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 16.3 | ±3.1 pp | 4.0 |
| Leger | March 12, 2023 | [140] | 24 | 19 | 18 | — | 2 | 2 | — | ±2.49 pp | 5 |
| Nanos Research | March 10, 2023 | [303] | 27.5 | 27.3 | 15.8 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 16.6 | ±3.1 pp | 0.2 |
| Nanos Research | March 3, 2023 | [304] | 28.4 | 27 | 16.2 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 17.1 | ±3.1 pp | 1.4 |
| Research Co. | February 27, 2023 | [146] | 33 | 25 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 20 | ±3.1 pp | 8 |
| Nanos Research | February 24, 2023 | [305] | 31.4 | 26.7 | 14.2 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 16.1 | ±3.1 pp | 4.7 |
| Nanos Research | February 17, 2023 | [306] | 32.3 | 26.1 | 16.1 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 16.8 | ±3.1 pp | 6.2 |
| Leger | February 12, 2023 | [149] | 24 | 21 | 17 | — | 3 | 2 | — | ±2.5 pp | 3 |
| Nanos Research | February 10, 2023 | [150] | 32.8 | 25.8 | 15.8 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 16.3 | ±3.1 pp | 7.0 |
| Nanos Research | February 3, 2023 | [307] | 31.9 | 26.3 | 14.6 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 17.2 | ±3.1 pp | 5.6 |
| Nanos Research | January 27, 2023 | [308] | 30.4 | 26.3 | 16.1 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 17.0 | ±3.1 pp | 4.1 |
| Nanos Research | January 20, 2023 | [309] | 30.2 | 27.1 | 15.2 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 2 | 16.8 | ±3.1 pp | 3.1 |
| Nanos Research | January 13, 2023 | [158] | 30 | 27.5 | 16.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2 | 15.9 | ±3.1 pp | 2.5 |
| Nanos Research | January 6, 2023 | [310] | 30.6 | 26.6 | 17.5 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 14.8 | ±3.1 pp | 4 |
| Nanos Research | December 30, 2022 | [311] | 30.5 | 27.4 | 16.8 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 15.9 | ±3.1 pp | 3.1 |
| Nanos Research | December 23, 2022 | [312] | 30 | 27 | 17.6 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 16.0 | ±3.1 pp | 3 |
| Nanos Research | December 16, 2022 | [313] | 29 | 27 | 17.3 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 16.8 | ±3.1 pp | 2 |
| Nanos Research | December 9, 2022 | [314] | 27.9 | 27.8 | 16.4 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 19.2 | ±3.1 pp | 0.1 |
| Nanos Research | December 2, 2022 | [315] | 29.2 | 25.8 | 18.2 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2 | 19.3 | ±3.1 pp | 3.4 |
| Nanos Research | November 25, 2022 | [316] | 29.4 | 25.8 | 18.4 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 18.3 | ±3.1 pp | 3.6 |
September 2022 – November 2022
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Justin Trudeau | Pierre Poilievre | Jagmeet Singh | Yves-François Blanchet | Amita Kuttner | Maxime Bernier | Unsure | Margin of error[c] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | November 18, 2022 | [317] | 30.5 | 26.1 | 18.4 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 18.0 | ±3.1 pp | 4.4 |
| Nanos Research | November 11, 2022 | [318] | 31.0 | 27.3 | 18.0 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 16.6 | ±3.1 pp | 3.7 |
| Nanos Research | November 4, 2022 | [319] | 31.5 | 28.0 | 16.5 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 15.7 | ±3.1 pp | 3.5 |
| Nanos Research | October 28, 2022 | [320] | 30.7 | 28.9 | 15.1 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 15.9 | ±3.1 pp | 1.8 |
| Research Co. | October 26, 2022 | [174] | 30 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 | ±3.1 pp | 4 |
| Nanos Research | October 21, 2022 | [321] | 29.5 | 30.0 | 16.2 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 15.0 | ±3.1 pp | 0.5 |
| Nanos Research | October 14, 2022 | [322] | 29.8 | 30.0 | 14.9 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 18.1 | ±3.1 pp | 0.2 |
| Nanos Research | October 7, 2022 | [323] | 29.0 | 27.0 | 19.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 17.7 | ±3.1 pp | 2.0 |
| Nanos Research | September 30, 2022 | [324] | 28.2 | 24.8 | 20.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 19.6 | ±3.1 pp | 3.4 |
| Nanos Research | September 23, 2022 | [325] | 29.2 | 20.9 | 19.6 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 22.9 | ±3.1 pp | 8.3 |
| Ipsos | September 20, 2022 | [326] | 31 | 35 | 26 | 8 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| Leger | September 18, 2022 | [184] | 24 | 21 | 17 | N/A | 1 | 3 | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| Nanos Research | September 16, 2022 | [327] | 27.4 | 18.4 | 20.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 25.8 | ±3.0 pp | 6.5 |
February 2022 – September 2022
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Justin Trudeau | Candice Bergen | Jagmeet Singh | Yves-François Blanchet | Amita Kuttner | Maxime Bernier | Unsure | Margin of error[c] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | September 9, 2022 | [328] | 29.6 | 19.3 | 17.4 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 25.8 | ±3.0 pp | 10.3 |
| Nanos Research | September 2, 2022 | [329] | 31.1 | 18.8 | 16.9 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 25.4 | ±2.9 pp | 12.3 |
| Nanos Research | August 26, 2022 | [330] | 31.1 | 18.1 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 25.6 | ±2.9 pp | 13.0 |
| Nanos Research | August 19, 2022 | [331] | 30.1 | 19.2 | 17.1 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 24.4 | ±2.9 pp | 10.9 |
| Nanos Research | August 12, 2022 | [332] | 28.7 | 17.8 | 18.1 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 26.6 | ±2.9 pp | 10.6 |
| Nanos Research | August 5, 2022 | [333] | 26.7 | 18.2 | 19.0 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 26.2 | ±3.0 pp | 7.7 |
| Nanos Research | July 29, 2022 | [334] | 27.8 | 17.6 | 18.9 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 26.9 | ±3.0 pp | 8.9 |
| Nanos Research | July 22, 2022 | [335] | 27.3 | 16.6 | 18.8 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 28.7 | ±3.0 pp | 8.5 |
| Nanos Research | July 15, 2022 | [336] | 28.1 | 17.7 | 18.9 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 26.4 | ±3.0 pp | 9.2 |
| Nanos Research | July 8, 2022 | [337] | 29.9 | 18.1 | 17.5 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 26.5 | ±3.0 pp | 11.8 |
| Nanos Research | July 1, 2022 | [338] | 30.1 | 19.5 | 17.2 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 25.4 | ±3.0 pp | 10.6 |
| Nanos Research | June 24, 2022 | [339] | 31.0 | 18.5 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 25.3 | ±3.0 pp | 12.5 |
| Nanos Research | June 17, 2022 | [340] | 29.8 | 18.2 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 25.8 | ±3.0 pp | 11.6 |
| Nanos Research | June 10, 2022 | [341] | 29.8 | 19.3 | 16.0 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 24.3 | ±3.1 pp | 10.5 |
| Nanos Research | June 3, 2022 | [342] | 28.8 | 19.9 | 16.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 24.5 | ±3.0 pp | 8.9 |
| Nanos Research | May 27, 2022 | [343] | 30.7 | 20.6 | 16.5 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 22.2 | ±3.0 pp | 10.1 |
| Nanos Research | May 20, 2022 | [344] | 31.1 | 20.5 | 16.6 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 21.7 | ±3.0 pp | 10.6 |
| Nanos Research | May 13, 2022 | [345] | 31.9 | 20.3 | 17.4 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 21.7 | ±3.1 pp | 11.6 |
| Nanos Research | May 6, 2022 | [346] | 30.8 | 20.3 | 18.5 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 22.6 | ±3.1 pp | 10.5 |
| Nanos Research | April 29, 2022 | [347] | 29.7 | 21.5 | 16.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 22.9 | ±3.1 pp | 8.2 |
| Nanos Research | April 22, 2022 | [348] | 29.7 | 20.4 | 17.3 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 23.3 | ±3.1 pp | 9.3 |
| Nanos Research | April 15, 2022 | [349] | 29.7 | 19.1 | 17.4 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 23.2 | ±3.1 pp | 10.6 |
| Nanos Research | April 8, 2022 | [350] | 31.8 | 18.5 | 17.1 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 5.2 | 21.3 | ±3.1 pp | 13.3 |
| Nanos Research | April 1, 2022 | [351] | 30.0 | 16.9 | 19.0 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 23.3 | ±3.1 pp | 11.0 |
| Nanos Research | March 25, 2022 | [352] | 30.4 | 17.1 | 19.5 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 23.2 | ±3.1 pp | 10.9 |
| Nanos Research | March 18, 2022 | [353] | 30.0 | 18.5 | 19.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 23.2 | ±3.1 pp | 10.7 |
| Nanos Research | March 11, 2022 | [354] | 31.0 | 17.2 | 19.1 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 22.4 | ±3.1 pp | 11.9 |
| Nanos Research | March 4, 2022 | [355] | 30.6 | 18.0 | 17.5 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 6.1 | 23.4 | ±3.1 pp | 12.6 |
| Nanos Research | February 25, 2022 | [356] | 29.9 | 19.2 | 17.1 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 7.3 | 22.0 | ±3.1 pp | 10.7 |
| Nanos Research | February 18, 2022 | [357] | 28.6 | 19.2 | 16.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 22.5 | ±3.1 pp | 9.4 |
Government approval polls
| Polling firm | Last date of polling[a] | Link | Approve | Disapprove | Unsure/ Neither | Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abacus Data | April 16, 2024 | [7] | 25% | 57% | — | ±2 pp | 2,300 | Online | –32% |
| Abacus Data | April 9, 2024 | [10] | 26% | 60% | — | ±2.1 pp | 2,000 | Online | –34% |
| Leger | March 25, 2024 | [14] | 28% | 66% | 4% | ±2.45 pp | 1,605 | Online | –38% |
| Abacus Data | March 21, 2024 | [16] | 26% | 59% | — | ±1.7 pp | 3,550 | Online | –33% |
| Abacus Data | March 6, 2024 | [21] | 26% | 58% | — | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | Online | –32% |
| Leger | February 25, 2024 | [24] | 29% | 66% | 4% | ±2.49 pp | 1,590 | Online | –37% |
| Abacus Data | February 21, 2024 | [26] | 24% | 59% | 18% | ±2.0 pp | 2,125 | Online | –35% |
| Abacus Data | February 7, 2024 | [29] | 24% | 59% | 17% | ±2.0 pp | 2,398 | Online | –35% |
| Leger | January 28, 2024 | [31] | 30% | 63% | 5% | ±2.47 pp | 1,579 | Online | –33% |
| Abacus Data | January 23, 2024 | [34] | 28% | 58% | 14% | ±2.1 pp | 2,199 | Online | –30% |
| Abacus Data | January 9, 2024 | [39] | 26% | 58% | 16% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –32% |
| Leger | December 17, 2023 | [44] | 33% | 61% | 5% | ±2.43 pp | 1,622 | Online | –28% |
| Abacus Data | December 12, 2023 | [358] | 28% | 56% | 16% | ±2.3 pp | 1,919 | Online | –28% |
| Abacus Data | November 28, 2023 | [359] | 27% | 57% | 16% | ±2.0 pp | 2,417 | Online | –30% |
| Leger | November 26, 2023 | [56] | 29% | 64% | 6% | ±2.51 pp | 1,529 | Online | –35% |
| Leger | November 12, 2023 | [360] | 30% | 63% | 7% | ±2.44 pp | 1,612 | Online | –33% |
| Abacus Data | November 12, 2023 | [361] | 26% | 58% | 16% | ±2.3 pp | 2,000 | Online | –32% |
| Leger | October 29, 2023 | [68] | 30% | 63% | 5% | ±2.4 pp | 1,632 | Online | –33% |
| Leger | September 27, 2023 | [79] | 33% | 60% | 5% | ±2.4 pp | 1,652 | Online | –27% |
| Abacus Data | September 12, 2023 | [84] | 29% | 57% | 14% | ±2.1 pp | 2,125 | Online | –28% |
| Abacus Data | September 4, 2023 | [89] | 31% | 53% | 16% | ±1.7 pp | 3,595 | Online | –22% |
| Abacus Data | August 7, 2023 | [362] | 31% | 54% | 15% | ±2.0 pp | 1,650 | Online | –23% |
| Abacus Data | July 25, 2023 | [102] | 32% | 51% | 17% | ±2.0 pp | 2,486 | Online | –19% |
| Abacus Data | May 3, 2023 | [126] | 34% | 49% | 17% | ±2.4 pp | 1,750 | Online | –15% |
| Abacus Data | March 21, 2023 | [136] | 33% | 49% | 18% | ±2.3 pp | 1,963 | Online | –16% |
| Abacus Data | March 4, 2023 | [144] | 35% | 49% | 16% | ±2.0 pp | 2,600 | Online | –14% |
| Abacus Data | February 18, 2023 | [147] | 34% | 48% | 18% | ±1.6 pp | 4,000 | Online | –14% |
| Abacus Data | January 30, 2023 | [152] | 34% | 49% | 17% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –15% |
| Abacus Data | January 16, 2023 | [157] | 34% | 47% | 19% | ±2.2 pp | 2,099 | Online | –13% |
| Abacus Data | October 26, 2022 | [175] | 35% | 47% | 18% | ±2.1 pp | 1,500 | Online | –12% |
| Ipsos | September 21, 2022 | [183] | 42% | 58% | — | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | Online | –16% |
| Abacus Data | September 14, 2022 | [191] | 37% | 49% | 14% | ±2.2 pp | 1,990 | Online | –12% |
| Abacus Data | August 30, 2022 | [191] | 36% | 49% | 15% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –13% |
| Abacus Data | July 27, 2022 | [191] | 34% | 51% | 15% | ±2.0 pp | 2,400 | Online | –17% |
| Abacus Data | July 17, 2022 | [193] | 38% | 46% | 16% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –8% |
| Abacus Data | June 23, 2022 | [193] | 38% | 45% | 17% | ±1.8 pp | 3,026 | Online | –7% |
| Abacus Data | May 24, 2022 | [200] | 40% | 43% | 17% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –3% |
| Abacus Data | May 6, 2022 | [203] | 41% | 42% | 17% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –1% |
| Abacus Data | April 9, 2022 | [207] | 41% | 44% | 15% | ±2.1 pp | 2,000 | Online | –3% |
| Abacus Data | March 25, 2022 | [209] | 40% | 42% | 18% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –2% |
| Abacus Data | February 22, 2022 | [213] | 39% | 46% | 15% | ±1.4 pp | 5,200 | Online | –7% |
| Abacus Data | February 8, 2022 | [217] | 38% | 45% | 16% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –7% |
| Ipsos | January 17, 2022 | [363] | 49% | 51% | — | ±3.5 pp | 1,001 | Online | –2% |
| Abacus Data | January 12, 2022 | [226] | 44% | 40% | 16% | ±2.1 pp | 2,200 | Online | +4% |
| Abacus Data | November 30, 2021 | [232] | 41% | 44% | 15% | ±2.2 pp | 2,025 | Online | –3% |
| Ipsos | November 15, 2021 | [364] | 48% | 52% | — | ±3.5 pp | 1,001 | Online | –4% |
| Abacus Data | October 20, 2021 | [239] | 42% | 43% | 16% | ±1.9 pp | 2,200 | Online | –1% |
See also
Notes
- ^ a b c Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above).
- ^ Support for other parties may include the People's Party of Canada depending on the poll.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
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