Granice rasta

Granice rasta (engl. The Limits to Growth) je knjiga koju je godine 1972. objavila grupa autora okupljenih oko trusta mozgova poznatog kao Rimski klub. U njoj je, na temelju kompjuterskih modela iznijela vlastite procjene posljedica koje bi eksponencijalni ekonomski rast uz porast stanovništva mogli imati po budućnost Zemlje i čovječanstva, s posebnim naglaskom na međusobne odnose između stanovništva svijeta, industrijalizacije, zagađenja, proizvodnje hrane i osiromašenja resursa. Studija je izazvala izuzetno zanimanje javnosti, pogotovo nakon izbijanja Prvog naftnog šoka sljedeće godine, i značajno uticala na popularizaciju ekološkog pokreta i koncepta održivog razvoja, ali i na dugoročnu politiku mnogih, pogotovo najrazvijenijih industrijskih zemalja. Istovremeno je postala i predmetom žestokih debata koji traju do današnjeg dana.

Jedna analiza iz 2021. je uglavnom potvrdila predviđanja studije: ekonomski rast bi stao krajem 2020-tih, a u lošijem slučaju došlo bi i do društvenog kolapsa oko 2040.^[1]

Povezano

• The Population Bomb

Izdanja

• ISBN 0-87663-165-0, 1972 First edition
• ISBN 0-87663-222-3, 1974 Second edition (cloth)
• ISBN 0-87663-918-X, 1974 Second edition (paperback)
• ISBN 978-1-931498-58-6, ASIN 1-931498-58-X, 2004 Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update

Reference

Vanjske veze

Granice rasta na Wikimedijinoj ostavi

• The Limits to Growth, licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Noncommercial license
• A Resource site for those interested in finding out more about limits to growth Arhivirano 2012-01-04 na Wayback Machine-u
• World3-03 Simulator - runs scenarios discussed in "Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update
• Revisiting The Limits to Growth: Could the Club of Rome Have Been Correct, After All? (By Matthew R. Simmons) Arhivirano 2021-10-20 na Wayback Machine-u
• 1999 Review by Club of Rome member
• A Synopsis of Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Update
• What was there in the famous "Report to the Club of Rome"?
• Uppsala Protocol: how to act when one resource hits its limit
• Core Statement of the Institute of Growth Research (summary)
• Graham Turner (2008). "A Comparison of `The Limits to Growth` with Thirty Years of Reality" Arhivirano 2014-10-29 na Wayback Machine-u. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO). See also
• YAN Kun(2011). The tendency equation of the population and its limit value in the United Kingdom (Brief annotation of the connection equation(R)), Xi'an: Xi'an Modern Nonlinear Science Applying Institute.

Video and audio

• Sound Interview: Dennis Meadows one of the members and authors of the book 09. October 2004 Arhivirano 2006-02-25 na Wayback Machine-u Global Public Media
• Smithsonian: 40 years Limits of Growth na YouTube
• Last Call - documentary examining the predictions of the Limits to Growth book 40 years later