2024 European Parliament election in France

2024 European Parliament election in France
France
← 2019 9 June 2024

All 81 French seats in the European Parliament
Party Leader Current seats
Bd’E Valérie Hayer 23
RN Jordan Bardella 18
EELV Marie Toussaint 12
LR François-Xavier Bellamy 8
LFI Manon Aubry 6
PS Raphaël Glucksmann 6
REC - CNIP Marion Maréchal 1
Independents 5

The 2024 European Parliament elections in France will be held as part of the 2024 European Parliament election.[1]

Background

The Borne government lost its majority in the 2022 French legislative election.[2]

Electoral system

A bill creating a single national constituency was approved by the National Assembly in a vote on the first reading on 20 February 2018,[3] and the Senate officially adopted the bill on 23 May 2018,[4] which was promulgated on 25 June after its validation by the Constitutional Council.[5]

Repportionment

As a result of Brexit, 27 seats from the British delegation were distributed to other countries in January 2020 (those elected in 2019, but not yet seated took their seats).[6] The other 46 seats were abolished with the total number of MEPs decreasing from 751 to 705 after that.[7] However for the 2024 election 15 of those abolished seats were reinstated with France electing two of those extra MEPs.[8]

Outgoing delegation

The table shows the detailed composition of the French seats at the European Parliament as of 13 February 2024.

EP Group Seats Party Seats MEPs
Renew Europe
23 / 79
Renaissance 12
Democratic Movement 6
Radical Party 2
Horizons 2
Independent 1
Identity and Democracy
18 / 79
National Rally 18
Greens–European Free Alliance
12 / 79
The Ecologists 10
Regions and People with Solidarity 2
European People's Party
8 / 79
The Republicans 7
The Centrists 1
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats
7 / 79
Socialist Party 3
Place Publique 2
Renaissance 1
New Deal 1
The Left in the European Parliament – GUE/NGL
6 / 79
La France Insoumise 5
Republican and Socialist Left 1
European Conservatives and Reformists
1 / 79
Reconquête 1
Non-Inscrits
4 / 79
Independents 4
Total 79
Source: European Parliament

Opinion polling

Graphical summary

Local regression of polls conducted

Parties or lists are ordered according to their share of the vote in 2019.


Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
LO
NI
NPA
Left
NUPES PRG
G/EFA[a]
PS
diss.
EAC
G/EFA
PP
G/EFA
PA
Left
RE–
MoDem–
Horizons
Renew
AR NE
EPP
LR
EPP
DLF
ECR
UPR
NI
LP
NI
RN
ID
REC
ECR
Others Lead
PCF
Left
LFI
Left
PS–PP
S&D
EELV
G/EFA
GE
NI
FNC [fr]
NI
R!
NI
Harris Interactive 15–18 Mar 2024 2,124 1 2 8 13 7 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 18 1 0.5 7 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 1.5[b] 12
OpinionWay 13–14 Mar 2024 1,008 1 2 6 11 8 1[c] 1 1 20 1 <1 8 3 1 27 6 3 7
Cluster17 8–9 Mar 2024 1,016 0.5 3 8 10 8 0.5 1.5 1 17 2 0.5 7 3 1 29 6 2 12
Elabe 5–7 Mar 2024 1,504 1.5 3 7.5 8.5 9.5 <0.5 2 2 17 1 7 3 0.5 29.5 4.5 3 12.5
YouGov 26 Feb7 Mar 2024 1,008 1 2 6 10 7 <1[c] 1 2 20 1 6 3 33 5 3 13
Ipsos 1–6 Mar 2024 11,700 1 3.5 7 11.5 8.5 0.5 1.5 18 0.5 7 2.5 0.5 0.5 31 5 1.5 13
Ipsos 23 Feb5 Mar 2024 2,000 3.0 7 12.2 8.1 18.1 7.6 2.5 30.7 5.5 5.4 12.6
Ifop 29 Feb1 Mar 2024 1,348 1 3.5 8 9 8 1[c] 1 2 19 <0.5 1.5 <0.5 8 1.5 0.5 <0.5 29 6 1 10
BVA 27–28 Feb 2024 1,344 2 3 7 11 7 <0.5 1.5 <0.5 1.5 18[d] 0.5 0.5 <0.5 8 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 1 12
Odoxa 21–22 Feb 2024 1,005 1.5 1.5 6 11 8.5 <0.5 19[e] 1 8.5 4 30 7 2 11
Stack Data Strategy 17–22 Feb 2024 744 0.5 3.1 9.9 9.9 5.6 2.8[c] 15[f] 1.3 4.7 3.1 31.0 6.5 5.0 16.0
OpinionWay 14–15 Feb 2024 1,009 <1 3 7 10 8 2[c] 1 <1 19 1 <1 8 2 1 27 8 3 8
Elabe 7–9 Feb 2024 1,426 1.5 2.5 9 9 9.5 <0.5 2 2 16.5 1 8 3 0.5 27.5 5 3 11
Ifop 7–8 Feb 2024 1,356 1.5 3.5 7 9.5 8 1.5[c] 1.5 1.5 19[e] 0.5 0.5 <0.5 7 1 0.5 0.5 29 6.5 1.5 10
1 3 7.5 10.5 8.5 1[c] 1 1 19[f] 1 1 <0.5 7.5 1.5 1 <0.5 28.5 6 1.5 9.5
1 3.5 8 10.5 8 1.5[c] 1.5 1.5 18[d] 0.5 0.5 <0.5 7.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 28 6 1.5 10
YouGov 29 Jan7 Feb 2024 1,001 1 2 8 8 8 1[c] 1 1 19[g] 1 6 2 32 8 3 13
Portland 24–31 Jan 2024 469 2 3 6 9 9 1 14 1 8 3 33 6 5 19
OpinionWay 17–18 Jan 2024 1,019 1 4 8 10 6 2[c] 1 1 20 <1 <1 8 2 27 7 3 7
Ifop 16–17 Jan 2024 1,348 0.5 4 7.5 9.5 7 1.5[c] 1.5 1 19[g] <0.5 0.5 <0.5 6.5 2 <0.5 0.5 31 7 1 12
Harris Interactive 12–15 Jan 2024 1,217 1 3 7 11 8 1 2 1 19[g] 1 8 2.5 28 6 1.5 9
Ifop 12–15 Jan 2024 875 1 4 6.5 9 9 1 20[g] 1 7.5 3 30 6 2 10
YouGov 8–15 Jan 2024 1,004 2 2 2 7 8 9 20[h] 6 4 30 7 3 10
Cluster17 13–14 Jan 2024 1,209 1 3 7.5 11 8 0.5 1.5 1 18[g] 1 7 3 28.5 7 2 10.5
Elabe 10–12 Jan 2024 1,400 1.5 3 7.5 9.5 8.5 0.5 1.5 1 18[h] 1 8.5 2.5 0.5 28.5 5 3 10.5
Ifop 3–5 Jan 2024 1,090 0.5 3 6 10 9 3[c] 2.5 1.5 17[h] 0.5 0.5 0.5 8 2 0.5 0.5 28 6.5 0.5 11
Odoxa 13–14 Dec 2023 1,004 2.5 3 6.5 9 6 0.5 21[h] 0.5 9 2 31 6 3 10
OpinionWay 13–14 Dec 2023 1 3 6 10 8 2[c] <1 1 19 <1 <1 9 3 27 8 3 8
Ipsos 29 Nov12 Dec 2023 11,691 1.5 3 7.5 10.5 9.5 0.5 20[h] 0.5 8 2.5 28 6.5 2 8
Ifop 8–11 Dec 2023 1,062 1.5 4.5 7 10 8 1.5 18[h] 1 7.5 2.5 30 7.5 1 12
OpinionWay 15–16 Nov 2023 2 3 7 9 8 3[c] <1 1 19 <1 8 2 28 7 3 9
Ipsos 9–10 Nov 2023 1,412 2 2 8.5 10 10 22[i] 6 2 29 6 2.5 7
2 2 8.5 10.5 10.5 20[h] 6.5 2 29 6 3 9
Ifop 12–13 Oct 2023 1,515 1 5 9 9 8 2 20[h] 8 2 28 6 2 8
1 5 9 9 9 1.5 20[j] 8.5 2.5 28 5 1 8
Ifop 30–31 Aug 2023 1,126 1 5 10 9 8 2 21[h] 8 3 25 6.5 1.5 4
2 6 11[k] 10 2 23[h] 9 3 25 7 2 2
1 5 9[l] 10 8 1.5 21[h] 9 3 25 6.5 1 4
Cluster17 16–19 Aug 2023 1,713 1.5 3 22.5 2.5 5 2.5 20.5[h] 7 3 23 7 2.5 0.5
1.5 20.5 7.5 2.5 3 2.5 20[h] 7 3 23.5 7 2 3
1.5 25[m] 2.5 4 2.5 20[h] 7.5 4 24 7 2 1
1 25[n] 3 4 3 20[h] 7.5 3.5 24 7 1.5 1
2 23[o] 3 4.5 3 21[h] 7.5 3 24 7 2 1
2 25[p] 2.5 4.5 2.5 20[h] 7 4 24 7 1.5 1
Ifop 4–5 Jul 2023 1,008 1 4 8 9 9 20[h] 11 4 26 7 1 6
Ipsos 16–26 Jun 2023 10,631 1.5 4 8.5 10 10 21[h] 9 2.5 24 6.5 3 3
2 24 24[h] 10 3 25 7 5 1
1.5 5 9.5 15 23[h] 9 2.5 25 6.5 3 2
Elabe 19–21 Jun 2023 1,397 1.5 2 8.5 9.5 11 22.5 8.5 2.5 26 5.5 2.5 3.5
1.5 24.5 26 9 2.5 27 5.5 4 1
Cluster17 17–19 May 2023 1,760 2 4 11 9 11 19.5[h] 7.5 3 24 6.5 3.5 4.5
2 27 23[h] 8.5 4 25.5 7 3 1.5
Ifop 10–11 May 2023 1,310 1 5 10 10 10 19[h] 8 3 25 6 3 6
2 26[q] 22[h] 11 3 26 6 4 Tie
Harris Interactive 5–9 May 2023 1,262 2 23[r] 3 26 13 2 21 5 5 3
1 19[r] 5 6 3 24 12 2 20 5 3 4
1 3 9 10 11 1 23 12 2 20 5 3 3
2019 European election 26 May 2019 0.8 [s] 2.5 6.3 6.2 13.5 1.8[t] [u] [v] 0.1 2.2 22.4 8.5 3.5 1.2 0.6 23.3 7.1 0.9
  1. ^ Alliance with R&PS and Volt France
  2. ^ Écologie positive et Territoires 1%
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n PRG and Bernard Cazeneuve's The Convention
  4. ^ a b RE list led by Valérie Hayer, confirmed as candidate on February 29th
  5. ^ a b RE list led by Clément Beaune
  6. ^ a b RE list led by Julien Denormandie
  7. ^ a b c d e RE list led by Olivier Véran
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y RE list led by Stéphane Séjourné
  9. ^ RE list led by Bruno Le Maire
  10. ^ RE list led by Thierry Breton
  11. ^ LFI–PS list led by Segolène Royal
  12. ^ LFI list led by Segolène Royal
  13. ^ NUPES list led by Marie Toussaint (EELV)
  14. ^ NUPES list led by Manon Aubry (LFI)
  15. ^ NUPES list led by Léon Deffontaines (PCF)
  16. ^ NUPES list led by Olivier Faure (PS)
  17. ^ NUPES list led by LFI and EELV
  18. ^ a b NUPES list led by EELV
  19. ^ endorsed LO
  20. ^ with MEI and MdP
  21. ^ with PS
  22. ^ with EELV

Projection of seats in the European Parliament

Polling firm Date NUPES RE–
MoDem–
Horizons
Renew
LR
EPP
RN
ID
REC
NIECR
Lead
PCF
Left
LFI
Left
PS–PP
S&D
EELV
G/EFA
Elabe 7 Mar 2024 6–9 7–11 7–12 15–20 6–9 27-33 0–6 7–13
Ipsos 5 Mar 2024 6 11 7 17 7 28 5 11
Odoxa 22 Feb 2024 5 10 7–8 17 7–8 28 6 11
Odoxa 14 Dec 2023 6 8 5 20 8 29 5 9
2019 European election 26 May 2019 6 6 13 23 8 23 Tie

References

  1. ^ "European elections 2024". European Parliament Multimedia Centre. Retrieved 2023-10-15.
  2. ^ "French elections: Macron loses majority as French vote fragments". BBC News. 2022-06-19. Retrieved 2023-10-15.
  3. ^ "Analyse du scrutin n° 407 - Deuxième séance du 20/02/2018". Assemblée nationale. 20 February 2018. Retrieved 1 June 2018.
  4. ^ "Scrutin n° 104 - séance du 23 mai 2018". Sénat. 23 May 2018. Retrieved 1 June 2018.
  5. ^ "LOI n° 2018-509 du 25 juin 2018 relative à l'élection des représentants au Parlement européen (1)". Légifrance. 25 June 2018. Retrieved 25 July 2018.
  6. ^ "Italian proposal for who gets British MEP seats". POLITICO. 2017-04-26. Retrieved 2022-09-09.
  7. ^ "MEPs propose cut in their ranks after Brexit". POLITICO. 2017-09-07. Retrieved 2022-09-09.
  8. ^ "European Parliament set to grow by 15 MEPs in 2024". POLITICO. 2023-07-28. Retrieved 2024-01-25.
  • v
  • t
  • e
France Elections and referendums in France
PresidentialParliamentaryRegionalCantonal then
Departemental
  • 1790
  • 1791
  • 1792
  • 1795
  • 1797
  • 1798
  • 1799
  • 1801
  • 1803
  • 1806
  • 1807
  • 1808
  • 1809
  • 1810
  • 1811
  • 1812
  • 1813
  • 1833
  • 1836
  • 1839
  • 1842
  • 1845
  • 1848
  • 1852
  • 1854
  • 1855
  • 1856
  • 1858
  • 1860
  • 1861
  • 1862
  • 1864
  • 1865
  • 1866
  • 1867
  • 1868
  • 1869
  • 1870
  • 1871
  • 1874
  • 1877
  • 1880
  • 1883
  • 1886
  • 1889
  • 1892
  • 1895
  • 1898
  • 1901
  • 1904
  • 1907
  • 1910
  • 1913
  • 1919
  • 1922
  • 1925
  • 1928
  • 1931
  • 1934
  • 1937
  • 1945
  • 1949
  • 1951
  • 1955
  • 1958
  • 1961
  • 1964
  • 1967
  • 1970
  • 1973
  • 1976
  • 1979
  • 1982
  • 1985
  • 1988
  • 1992
  • 1994
  • 1998
  • 2001
  • 2004
  • 2008
  • 2011
  • 2015
  • 2021
  • 2028
Municipal
  • 1790
  • 1790–91
  • 1791
  • 1792
  • 1795
  • 1797
  • 1798
  • 1799
  • 1801
  • 1813
  • 1815
  • 1831
  • 1834
  • 1837
  • 1840
  • 1843
  • 1845
  • 1846
  • 1848
  • 1852
  • 1855
  • 1860
  • 1865
  • 1870
  • 1871 (Mar)
  • 1871 (Jul)
  • 1874
  • 1878
  • 1881
  • 1884
  • 1888
  • 1892
  • 1896
  • 1900
  • 1904
  • 1908
  • 1912
  • 1919
  • 1925
  • 1929
  • 1935
  • 1945
  • 1947
  • 1953
  • 1959
  • 1965
  • 1971
  • 1977
  • 1983
  • 1989
  • 1995
  • 2001
  • 2008
  • 2014
  • 2020
  • 2026
Consular
  • 2014 [fr]
  • 2021
  • 2026
EuropeanReferendums
  • See also: Indirect presidential and Senate elections
  • Elections in French Polynesia
  • New Caledonia
  • Saint Barthélemy
  • Saint Martin
  • Saint Pierre and Miquelon
  • Wallis and Futuna
  • v
  • t
  • e
1979
1984
1989
1994
1999
2004
2009
2014
2019
2024
Off-year